Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d93ab66c471ce5e5408299a96e0e7c3743c0b552695b27f92771e539521249b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Eternal Fire | 41c | 36,898$15,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,699.82 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Fnatic | 63c | 32,832$20,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,709.35 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…398abacked Fnatic | 39c | 12,388$4,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,852 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 4,857$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.98 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 4,022$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.79 | 536 | 59.1%317 W · 219 L | +41.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Eternal Fire | 49c | 3,273$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.76 | 660 | 59.5%393 W · 267 L | +51.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fnatic | 52c | 2,752$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.64 | 958 | 49.6%475 W · 483 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fnatic | 43c | 1,803$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.2 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Fnatic | 23c | 1,750$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 229 | 17.5%40 W · 189 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Fnatic | 21c | 1,684$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.19 | 616 | 22.7%140 W · 476 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 1,577$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.5 | 687 | 58.4%401 W · 286 L | +56.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Fnatic | 33c | 1,103$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 1,002$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.7 | 577 | 57.7%333 W · 244 L | +35.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked Fnatic | 8c | 1,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…b542backed Eternal Fire | 77c | 989.9$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Fnatic | 28c | 929.05$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Eternal Fire | 34c | 912.65$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.35 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Fnatic | 68c | 890.57$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.37 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Fnatic | 34c | 653.36$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Fnatic | 17c | 560.59$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed Eternal Fire | 64c | 555.51$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Fnatic | 67c | 552.21$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.98 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 546 | 41.8%228 W · 318 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 499.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.99 | 322 | 47.8%154 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Fnatic | 52c | 426$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.52 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked Fnatic | 43c | 402.77$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fnatic | 40c | 391.31$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.52 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Fnatic | 67c | 355.86$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.42 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 289.01$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.12 | 946 | 48.1%455 W · 491 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 272.73$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.73 | 365 | 46%168 W · 197 L | +24.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked Eternal Fire | 78c | 257.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…8b63backed Fnatic | 40c | 252.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Fnatic | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed Fnatic | 35c | 249.22$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 139 | 55.4%77 W · 62 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Fnatic | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked Eternal Fire | 72c | 193.79$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Fnatic | 24c | 181.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 363 | 38.6%140 W · 223 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fnatic | 42c | 180.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1,329 | 43.6%580 W · 749 L | -47.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…5e95backed Fnatic | 67c | 173.78$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Fnatic | 67c | 167.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.29 | 227 | 55.5%126 W · 101 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fnatic | 64c | 162.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 1,517 | 46.6%707 W · 810 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Eternal Fire | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 156.19$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 756 | 42.7%323 W · 433 L | -27.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Fnatic | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 281 | 56.2%158 W · 123 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Fnatic | 30c | 131.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fnatic | 65c | 119.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 1,271 | 49.6%630 W · 641 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fnatic | 19c | 104.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 929 | 33.2%308 W · 621 L | -91.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9562…fbd4backed Fnatic | 17c | 94.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fnatic | 45c | 87.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 1,629 | 45%733 W · 896 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fnatic | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 976 | 45.2%441 W · 535 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Fnatic | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…fe2cbacked Fnatic | 48c | 76.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…a9c2backed Fnatic | 48c | 76.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Fnatic | 66c | 76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -8.4wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Fnatic | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked Eternal Fire | 74c | 67.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fnatic | 38c | 66.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 720 | 43.3%312 W · 408 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Fnatic | 43c | 58.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed Eternal Fire | 75c | 56.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Eternal Fire | 38c | 53.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Fnatic | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…17d3backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 50.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Fnatic | 54c | 45.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6505…1feebacked Fnatic | 54c | 40.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Eternal Fire | 33c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Fnatic | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b7…5f6bbacked Eternal Fire | 37c | 27.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Fnatic | 45c | 27.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 545 | 55.4%302 W · 243 L | +24.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Fnatic | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)Eternal Fire won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)Eternal Fire won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)Eternal Fire won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaEternal Fire won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.