CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Teletubisie (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x829df2b87110c8426bef2a310e5ba34d8cdde15473b434e6a4273bef87c3ce74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Teletubisieof STATE, Teletubisie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61a8…1ad4backed Teletubisie | 35c | 841.34$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.36 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked STATE | 57c | 594.92$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.56 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Teletubisie | 54c | 538.55$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.58 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Teletubisie | 58c | 517.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.03 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked STATE | 50c | 494.62$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.5 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Teletubisie | 41c | 438.47$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.7 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed STATE | 69c | 432.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -4.1wins | -0.45per pick | 67cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Teletubisie | 52c | 342.02$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.99 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked STATE | 64c | 311.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed STATE | 59c | 294.13$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Teletubisie | 42c | 286.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.92 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed STATE | 63c | 283.03$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 343 | 56.6%194 W · 149 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Teletubisie | 61c | 248.88$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Teletubisie | 56c | 240.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked STATE | 9c | 218.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed STATE | 73c | 212.35$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Teletubisie | 32c | 189.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.24 | 349 | 41.5%145 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked STATE | 49c | 179.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 451 | 38.4%173 W · 278 L | -29.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Teletubisie | 48c | 176.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…d1acbacked STATE | 60c | 165.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Teletubisie | 35c | 126.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.26 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked STATE | 63c | 123.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed STATE | 73c | 113.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed STATE | 24c | 112.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Teletubisie | 31c | 108.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 735 | 48.4%356 W · 379 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked STATE | 10c | 105.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed STATE | 10c | 105.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…9035backed STATE | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked STATE | 30c | 99.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Teletubisie | 40c | 99.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 270 | 41.1%111 W · 159 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked STATE | 44c | 95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Teletubisie | 59c | 95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked STATE | 42c | 92.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 746 | 33.4%249 W · 497 L | -48.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked STATE | 56c | 81.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed STATE | 51c | 79.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…9571backed STATE | 59c | 79.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Teletubisie | 44c | 78.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked STATE | 78c | 56.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Teletubisie | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Teletubisie | 32c | 49.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 789 | 52%410 W · 379 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked STATE | 59c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 490 | 41.8%205 W · 285 L | -18.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Teletubisie | 41c | 44.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed STATE | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed STATE | 50c | 40.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 873 | 30.9%270 W · 603 L | -62.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked STATE | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked STATE | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 390 | 72.3%282 W · 108 L | +37.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb850…3808backed Teletubisie | 52c | 38.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Teletubisie | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed STATE | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb2…c4cdbacked Teletubisie | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed STATE | 47c | 33.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked STATE | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…5b7cbacked STATE | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…a02dbacked STATE | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Teletubisie | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed STATE | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 232 | 26.3%61 W · 171 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed STATE | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed STATE | 68c | 19.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 216 | 52.8%114 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed STATE | 71c | 17.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked STATE | 72c | 17.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…fe8abacked STATE | 70c | 15.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Teletubisie (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Teletubisie - Map 1 WinnerSTATE won
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Teletubisie - Map 2 WinnerTeletubisie won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.