Lol · resolved market
LoL: Aeterna Esports vs Colossal Gaming (BO1) - LIT Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2ebf9dc64168523e2dc9d05ed10ca50e4e194d6809cd1480fc0713697996fad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aeterna Esportsof Aeterna Esports, Colossal Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Aeterna Esports | 26c | 9,615$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,137.63 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd9…420fbacked Colossal Gaming | 74c | 7,421$5,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,491.18 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 71cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Colossal Gaming | 75c | 1,221$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.88 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Colossal Gaming | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked Colossal Gaming | 67c | 527.56$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Colossal Gaming | 79c | 500$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.22 | 644 | 53.9%347 W · 297 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538f…a2d8backed Colossal Gaming | 78c | 292.38$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Colossal Gaming | 76c | 228.67$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.79 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Aeterna Esports | 24c | 192$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Aeterna Esports | 21c | 179.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.31 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Colossal Gaming | 56c | 176.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Aeterna Esports | 64c | 158.78$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Aeterna Esports | 49c | 135.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Aeterna Esports | 38c | 130.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Aeterna Esports | 17c | 130$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.9 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Colossal Gaming | 51c | 126.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aeterna Esports | 41c | 118.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…0e38backed Aeterna Esports | 58c | 115.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Colossal Gaming | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Colossal Gaming | 78c | 96.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Aeterna Esports | 38c | 96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Colossal Gaming | 58c | 95.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Aeterna Esports | 37c | 89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Aeterna Esports | 33c | 87.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 243 | 56.4%137 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…74babacked Aeterna Esports | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed Aeterna Esports | 39c | 80.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Colossal Gaming | 34c | 75.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Colossal Gaming | 75c | 70.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Aeterna Esports | 21c | 62.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Aeterna Esports | 22c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Aeterna Esports | 22c | 57.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Aeterna Esports | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Colossal Gaming | 59c | 49.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Aeterna Esports | 22c | 49.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Colossal Gaming | 78c | 38.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 134 | 73.9%99 W · 35 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Aeterna Esports | 47c | 37.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 122 | 70.5%86 W · 36 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Colossal Gaming | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Aeterna Esports | 38c | 31.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Colossal Gaming | 66c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Aeterna Esports | 49c | 24.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b65…c48abacked Aeterna Esports | 51c | 23.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Colossal Gaming | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Colossal Gaming | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed Colossal Gaming | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 346 | 67.6%234 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…888fbacked Aeterna Esports | 78c | 14.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.