Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37a48f8f3e863a4d02e27f382367e93d69f8360e62018bc1fc7e81d638cf2bdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Team Liquid, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $384,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $457,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Liquid | 62c | 31,024$19,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,100 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed MOUZ | 24c | 24,435$5,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,562.81 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 18,290$13,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,717.37 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 15,373$6,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,840.68 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed MOUZ | 37c | 14,049$5,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,848.5 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Liquid | 77c | 14,019$10,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,854.26 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Liquid | 79c | 11,965$9,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,493.64 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 28c | 11,366$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,197.44 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Liquid | 51c | 10,769$5,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,511.58 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked MOUZ | 31c | 8,976$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,194.63 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked MOUZ | 22c | 8,448$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,616.41 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Liquid | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.97 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed MOUZ | 23c | 7,690$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,946.89 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed MOUZ | 51c | 7,238$3,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.11 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 6,878$5,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,364.27 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed MOUZ | 51c | 6,659$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.92 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 37c | 6,493$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089.04 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Liquid | 63c | 5,728$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,586.31 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 39c | 5,457$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.33 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked MOUZ | 38c | 5,137$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.35 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed MOUZ | 42c | 4,813$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.08 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked MOUZ | 54c | 4,656$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.93 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 46c | 4,300$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.99 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Liquid | 61c | 4,250$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.48 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.95 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed MOUZ | 26c | 3,895$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.23 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Liquid | 60c | 3,503$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.97 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed MOUZ | 67c | 3,297$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.32 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 3,008$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.96 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed MOUZ | 59c | 2,670$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.93 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed MOUZ | 60c | 2,339$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.85 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked MOUZ | 53c | 2,128$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.48 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 53c | 2,062$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.74 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed MOUZ | 55c | 2,005$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.46 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked MOUZ | 41c | 1,835$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.27 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked MOUZ | 43c | 1,716$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.06 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Liquid | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Liquid | 34c | 1,600$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.99 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Team Liquid | 80c | 1,579$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.8 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked MOUZ | 37c | 1,549$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.25 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 1,419$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed MOUZ | 20c | 1,400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked MOUZ | 42c | 1,285$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.83 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Liquid | 25c | 1,259$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.73 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Liquid | 80c | 1,259$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.1 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 1,219$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.57 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,160$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.11 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,159$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.59 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,145$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.58 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 37c | 1,096$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.11 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 1,096$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.54 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid | 79c | 1,081$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.49 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed MOUZ | 28c | 1,073$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.84 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked MOUZ | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed MOUZ | 20c | 1,041$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.9 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.58 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked MOUZ | 24c | 1,036$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.61 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 79c | 1,031$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.21 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed MOUZ | 23c | 1,000$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.53 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team Liquid | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Team Liquid | 12c | 950.02$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked MOUZ | 29c | 918.16$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.96 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Team Liquid | 50c | 916$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked MOUZ | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked MOUZ | 25c | 888$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed MOUZ | 33c | 849.39$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.39 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 38c | 789.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.96 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed MOUZ | 21c | 774.85$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.28 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed MOUZ | 49c | 769.41$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.26 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked MOUZ | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 223 | 39%87 W · 136 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked MOUZ | 20c | 766.91$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.35 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Liquid | 68c | 755.83$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.15 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed MOUZ | 55c | 695.29$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.57 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…8676backed MOUZ | 22c | 667.59$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.72 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked MOUZ | 65c | 659.02$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.02 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid | 77c | 633.99$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.54 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed MOUZ | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 600$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.11 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed MOUZ | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed Team Liquid | 32c | 599.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MOUZ | 63c | 590.32$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.68 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed MOUZ | 70c | 571.77$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 419 | 53.7%225 W · 194 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Liquid | 39c | 546.63$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.8 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec1…9a95backed MOUZ | 50c | 505$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.5 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed MOUZ | 44c | 504.55$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.55 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked MOUZ | 45c | 504.1$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.13 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Team Liquid | 28c | 500$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked MOUZ | 54c | 479.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.53 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…ef1cbacked MOUZ | 30c | 460.58$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.41 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Liquid | 55c | 456.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 20c | 447.36$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.89 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 47c | 447.31$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.46 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Liquid | 31c | 419.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…9c0dbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 405.32$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.2 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed MOUZ | 22c | 400$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed MOUZ | 45c | 394.53$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.84 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.