Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eeabed1111fd3c0adb471899c42889bc9fd55f5398e4d3fe97fe66b863bed89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 16c | 17,823$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.72 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Liquid | 73c | 10,928$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.89 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed MOUZ | 27c | 10,077$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717.81 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed MOUZ | 20c | 8,000$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.53 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 80c | 7,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Liquid | 79c | 7,000$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed MOUZ | 21c | 4,805$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.97 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked MOUZ | 20c | 4,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed MOUZ | 24c | 3,870$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.08 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked MOUZ | 22c | 3,633$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.28 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed MOUZ | 20c | 3,470$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.6 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Liquid | 75c | 3,215$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.37 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed MOUZ | 13c | 2,964$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.01 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed MOUZ | 2c | 2,881$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked MOUZ | 1c | 2,617$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked MOUZ | 20c | 2,450$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.08 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 21c | 2,403$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.69 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 17c | 2,357$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.74 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Liquid | 73c | 2,146$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.03 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed MOUZ | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 26c | 1,850$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.65 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed MOUZ | 24c | 1,593$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.97 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked MOUZ | 20c | 1,469$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed MOUZ | 17c | 1,359$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.01 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Liquid | 78c | 1,320$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.63 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Liquid | 78c | 1,250$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 26c | 986.48$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.42 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 22c | 879.88$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.79 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Liquid | 73c | 831.27$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.44 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed MOUZ | 26c | 807.69$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid | 74c | 804$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.04 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…21e0backed Team Liquid | 79c | 709.14$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.64 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ | 27c | 559.39$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…8676backed MOUZ | 26c | 559.12$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.37 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 500$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed MOUZ | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 418.68$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.17 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed MOUZ | 25c | 402$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked MOUZ | 27c | 332.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 325$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…9c0dbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x667c…9293backed MOUZ | 28c | 318.36$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed MOUZ | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked MOUZ | 22c | 289.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked MOUZ | 25c | 273.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 265.46$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Liquid | 79c | 221.83$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed MOUZ | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 364 | 52.5%191 W · 173 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…ef1cbacked MOUZ | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed MOUZ | 11c | 154.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ | 22c | 151.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked MOUZ | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed MOUZ | 21c | 130.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc1…662fbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 128.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed MOUZ | 18c | 127.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Team Liquid | 73c | 114.96$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 604 | 60.6%366 W · 238 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MOUZ | 17c | 113.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked MOUZ | 15c | 98.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed Team Liquid | 77c | 92.47$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…6929backed MOUZ | 21c | 88.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Team Liquid | 73c | 82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed MOUZ | 21c | 80.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed MOUZ | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…c2bebacked MOUZ | 27c | 70.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked MOUZ | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Liquid | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed Team Liquid | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed MOUZ | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Team Liquid | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2325backed Team Liquid | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked MOUZ | 28c | 37.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 37.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Team Liquid | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 463 | 54.6%253 W · 210 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Team Liquid | 74c | 30.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…3eb7backed Team Liquid | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…dbcdbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…099fbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 23.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…47f5backed Team Liquid | 71c | 22.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Team Liquid | 77c | 16.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.