Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b7773def32620cb884502d9dbf3c9a9a2cdbb2b105cdebb47279274ee656c02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 53c | 725.37$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.21 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 36c | 597.88$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 52c | 472.09$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.35 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a7…2657backed Yes | 6c | 399.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 183 | 28.4%52 W · 131 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 65c | 395.7$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 37c | 338.22$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.33 | 439 | 32.8%144 W · 295 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 48c | 334.08$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935c…fb8fbacked Yes | 24c | 272.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876e…6824backed Yes | 27c | 262$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked No | 47c | 243.41$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.69 | 170 | 25.3%43 W · 127 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 61c | 212.55$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.31 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d8…0a12backed No | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 54c | 195.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 38c | 177.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 64c | 171$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…73f7backed Yes | 52c | 165.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 252 | 61.9%156 W · 96 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 62c | 162.35$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked Yes | 37c | 162.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 60c | 158.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 49c | 155.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 73c | 147.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 28c | 146.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 141.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 70c | 140.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 46c | 126.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 41c | 126.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 403 | 37.2%150 W · 253 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 53c | 124.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 58c | 122.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 48c | 122.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 16c | 112.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…485fbacked Yes | 55c | 103.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 44c | 101.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 348 | 31%108 W · 240 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ef…e466backed Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…a808backed Yes | 39c | 96.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 75c | 94.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 49c | 89.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 36c | 89.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 67c | 86.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 52c | 84.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 51c | 83.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 73c | 80.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…8d6dbacked Yes | 31c | 78.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…5c86backed No | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 318 | 36.8%117 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 52c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 33c | 69.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 425 | 55.1%234 W · 191 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…b668backed Yes | 34c | 64.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 75c | 61.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 72c | 56.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 68c | 55.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…5565backed Yes | 54c | 55.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 41c | 53.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 54c | 50.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 51c | 48.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 33c | 47.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 51c | 47.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed Yes | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed Yes | 51c | 46.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 48c | 45.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 71c | 42.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 48c | 42.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 285 | 46.3%132 W · 153 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 74c | 41.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 622 | 75.2%468 W · 154 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…ce84backed No | 51c | 38.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 59c | 37.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked No | 76c | 37.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…ce23backed No | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed Yes | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 478 | 66.5%318 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb218…6261backed Yes | 32c | 35.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdd…77a4backed No | 47c | 35.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 77c | 33.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…8792backed No | 71c | 32.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…497dbacked Yes | 33c | 31.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 349 | 35.2%123 W · 226 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…d5b4backed No | 49c | 30.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed No | 48c | 29.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Yes | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -34.5wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 79c | 28.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…1a13backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 45c | 26.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3e…3865backed Yes | 52c | 26.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…5848backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 241 | 41.1%99 W · 142 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 78c | 24.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked No | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 283 | 44.5%126 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 67c | 21.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdeb…0b98backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 395 | 43.5%172 W · 223 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e4bebacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 57c | 19.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.