Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd48594d9bf916eac281248729b8dc813038881c1641c7cac7353fb6339e4af84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7353…b6c5backed No | 5c | 2,040$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 48.4%107 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 11c | 654.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 458 | 36.5%167 W · 291 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 48c | 589.93$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.26 | 4,622 | 47.5%2,195 W · 2,427 L | -182.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 40c | 453.22$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.42 | 1,804 | 55.9%1,009 W · 795 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 45c | 444.56$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.56 | 609 | 36.8%224 W · 385 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 7c | 443.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 1,005 | 51.8%521 W · 484 L | +108.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 35c | 434.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.17 | 699 | 46.1%322 W · 377 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 60c | 402$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.2 | 615 | 21.1%130 W · 485 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 11c | 393.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 1,868 | 37.7%705 W · 1,163 L | +282.8wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 40c | 363$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 8,309 | 49.2%4,089 W · 4,220 L | +271.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 37c | 313.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.44 | 604 | 61.1%369 W · 235 L | +29.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 56c | 283.66$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.41 | 6,111 | 49.3%3,012 W · 3,099 L | -116.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a7…2657backed No | 13c | 260.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 211 | 31.8%67 W · 144 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 259.03$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 4,435 | 65.2%2,891 W · 1,544 L | +18.7wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 35c | 258.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 12,477 | 46.8%5,840 W · 6,637 L | -43.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 40c | 229$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 605 | 33.4%202 W · 403 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 49c | 216.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1,617 | 52.1%843 W · 774 L | -43.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed No | 16c | 210.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 1,515 | 15.4%234 W · 1,281 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 69c | 206.89$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.88 | 5,542 | 47.8%2,649 W · 2,893 L | +81.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 62c | 176.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 1,611 | 61.8%995 W · 616 L | +17.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 59c | 175.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 256 | 56.3%144 W · 112 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 44c | 155.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2,155 | 59.6%1,285 W · 870 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 64c | 155.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 67c | 152.29$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 888 | 55.7%495 W · 393 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14db…7cafbacked Yes | 66c | 151.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf733…297dbacked No | 18c | 148.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 204 | 11.8%24 W · 180 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 146.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 3,782 | 65.8%2,489 W · 1,293 L | +32.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 36c | 132.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 10,848 | 37.5%4,070 W · 6,778 L | +432.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 58c | 126.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 5,201 | 49.9%2,595 W · 2,606 L | -161.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed Yes | 38c | 125.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 228 | 60.1%137 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 10c | 122.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 521 | 43.6%227 W · 294 L | +30.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd37…9135backed No | 41c | 120.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 37.5%87 W · 145 L | +30.6wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3,980 | 47.3%1,884 W · 2,096 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…e0a9backed No | 43c | 109.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1516…9f4cbacked Yes | 65c | 109.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 57c | 104.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 9,885 | 45.9%4,540 W · 5,345 L | -302.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…bbf5backed No | 42c | 104.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +14.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 44c | 103.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 2,230 | 56.9%1,269 W · 961 L | +64.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…8792backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 294 | 42.2%124 W · 170 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 508 | 46.1%234 W · 274 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 50c | 94.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 4,377 | 53.8%2,357 W · 2,020 L | -17.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed Yes | 38c | 90.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 243 | 55.1%134 W · 109 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 3,046 | 33.5%1,021 W · 2,025 L | +12.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked Yes | 59c | 89.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 455 | 30.1%137 W · 318 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed No | 47c | 89.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 469 | 44.6%209 W · 260 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 61c | 82.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 6,857 | 53.1%3,642 W · 3,215 L | +417.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…a808backed Yes | 37c | 81.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 62c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 3,821 | 61.1%2,336 W · 1,485 L | -35.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 41c | 79.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 3,686 | 33.8%1,246 W · 2,440 L | -190.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 59c | 79.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 878 | 60.6%532 W · 346 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 38c | 77.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 42c | 73.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 559 | 51.3%287 W · 272 L | +54.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 54c | 73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 5,478 | 56%3,069 W · 2,409 L | -123.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 35c | 72.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2,267 | 57.4%1,301 W · 966 L | +72.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0c…ef83backed Yes | 41c | 70.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…9b7fbacked No | 19c | 70.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,177 | 34.9%411 W · 766 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 56c | 60.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 1,279 | 53.9%690 W · 589 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 440 | 48.6%214 W · 226 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 231 | 55.8%129 W · 102 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31f…f04abacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 84 | 82.1%69 W · 15 L | +16.5wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +40%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…f9e0backed No | 42c | 57.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa755…6c5bbacked Yes | 35c | 54.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 62c | 54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 137 | 61.3%84 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 65c | 52.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 1,253 | 58.2%729 W · 524 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…b975backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 219 | 40.6%89 W · 130 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed No | 43c | 46.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 281 | 50.9%143 W · 138 L | +24.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 63c | 45.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 234 | 58.1%136 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…454ebacked No | 48c | 45.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | +25.3wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 52c | 43.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 1,178 | 40.6%478 W · 700 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…1a13backed Yes | 46c | 43.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…b668backed Yes | 53c | 41.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 52c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 2,260 | 58.3%1,318 W · 942 L | +85.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 65c | 37.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 1,186 | 50.8%603 W · 583 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed No | 64c | 37.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 113 | 39.8%45 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked Yes | 38c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 426 | 45.1%192 W · 234 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 30c | 35.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4,905 | 53.4%2,621 W · 2,284 L | +33.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 658 | 38.8%255 W · 403 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…33bcbacked Yes | 39c | 33.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked No | 53c | 30.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 324 | 46.3%150 W · 174 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 6,854 | 39.4%2,698 W · 4,156 L | +266.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 65c | 28.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 555 | 58.7%326 W · 229 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 39c | 27.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1,406 | 30.9%435 W · 971 L | -93.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 50c | 25.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -38.0wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…27fbbacked Yes | 58c | 25.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdd…77a4backed No | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…5839backed Yes | 59c | 24.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 55c | 21.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 62c | 20.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 5,161 | 68.3%3,525 W · 1,636 L | +71.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 4,616 | 58.3%2,689 W · 1,927 L | -114.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…724cbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…83e8backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 401 | 62.6%251 W · 150 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 785 | 57.8%454 W · 331 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd219…0412backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.