Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NEC vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x416489a1831ad148ef1355af197b3b269ca417c3c4688cf8f9f231e666556601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 27,707$21,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,174.08 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 10,137$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.45 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5c…00f7backed Yes | 19c | 5,000$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 22c | 4,891$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.03 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 4,328$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 6c | 1,201$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 11c | 1,086$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 24c | 713$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.14 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 710$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 4c | 617.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 80c | 392.37$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2748…d345backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…9c34backed Yes | 28c | 187.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 26c | 161$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 21c | 158.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 22c | 150.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 24c | 120.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 19c | 106.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 37c | 86.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 25c | 85.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 56c | 79.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 24c | 76.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 41c | 68.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 26c | 64.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 20c | 59.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 25c | 53.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…fbccbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d0…7534backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 80c | 31.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 69c | 27.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEC vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?this page
- Will NEC win on 2026-08-08?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.