Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d00e9ab4c447e322410dd9e46cd5b0296430ccfa044fa598902570c18cffe43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 70c | 86,794$61,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,634.36 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 28c | 22,745$6,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,456.44 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 25c | 21,384$5,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,288.63 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 19,148$6,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,218 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 11,581$3,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 28c | 6,298$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.84 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed No | 41c | 3,549$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.23 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 15c | 3,191$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,712.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed No | 18c | 2,721$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…1a6bbacked No | 14c | 2,714$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Yes | 79c | 1,561$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 54c | 1,474$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.08 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Yes | 16c | 1,404$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 1,396$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 4c | 1,020$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2748…d345backed Yes | 64c | 937.24$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 20c | 807.25$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 2c | 738$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 35c | 712.75$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.57 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 36c | 572.71$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.26 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 3c | 490$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Yes | 60c | 472.78$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 25c | 472.4$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 34c | 444.82$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.15 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 64c | 441.77$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.22 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 3c | 385$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…44b2backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed No | 27c | 307.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 22c | 279.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed No | 39c | 242.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked No | 32c | 221.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked No | 7c | 214.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +850.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 37c | 206.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed No | 75c | 200.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yes | 63c | 198.8$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 59c | 165.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed No | 8c | 163$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd806…5131backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 14c | 150.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 65c | 147.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed No | 29c | 135.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked No | 28c | 134.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 31c | 129.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 37c | 126.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 35c | 108.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 69c | 105.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 38c | 105.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +11.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb8…77d7backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 29c | 83.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked No | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 76c | 78.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…f642backed No | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 61c | 60.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 77c | 59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbe…0801backed Yes | 71c | 56.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 28c | 53.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 67c | 53.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1586…b94abacked Yes | 65c | 50.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked No | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked No | 28c | 47.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed No | 32c | 45.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…1035backed No | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 39.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 34c | 36.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a07…267fbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…0111backed No | 31c | 35.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c0…00d7backed Yes | 62c | 32.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed No | 35c | 31.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed No | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed Yes | 70c | 29.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c26…3ce6backed Yes | 70c | 24.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…b890backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…935bbacked Yes | 63c | 18.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 76c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Yes | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will NEC vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?No won
- Will NEC win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.