Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bbfa9884c60b6b6cd67132e89692b93f45db396dbb3381b8a8a7386928f83e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, BoomBoys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 38c | 10,627$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,627.18 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed BoomBoys | 62c | 7,895$4,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,894.74 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BoomBoys | 56c | 1,955$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.26 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed BoomBoys | 63c | 1,830$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.85 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 1,375$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.89 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BoomBoys | 64c | 859.94$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.4 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked BoomBoys | 64c | 817.1$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.94 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc918…7411backed Team Spirit | 65c | 585.14$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Team Spirit | 37c | 484.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.15 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…eab3backed Team Spirit | 48c | 318.95$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked BoomBoys | 37c | 283.06$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.81 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4298…e257backed Team Spirit | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01b6…7d7cbacked BoomBoys | 35c | 274.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Team Spirit | 37c | 237.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.45 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed BoomBoys | 66c | 197.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked Team Spirit | 57c | 176.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Team Spirit | 34c | 171.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…91cdbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 166$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed BoomBoys | 52c | 154.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed BoomBoys | 66c | 135.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Team Spirit | 46c | 114.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Spirit | 71c | 105.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked BoomBoys | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Team Spirit | 34c | 96.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Team Spirit | 34c | 78.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 74.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Spirit | 34c | 73.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed BoomBoys | 66c | 72.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed BoomBoys | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed BoomBoys | 63c | 62.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…fbccbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c96…0ce3backed Team Spirit | 61c | 44.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…2f0dbacked Team Spirit | 35c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed BoomBoys | 42c | 42.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…ca8bbacked Team Spirit | 34c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed Team Spirit | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…3cd6backed BoomBoys | 67c | 38.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed BoomBoys | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d2…510abacked Team Spirit | 37c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…92debacked BoomBoys | 66c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed BoomBoys | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…f164backed BoomBoys | 57c | 26.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fa…2830backed BoomBoys | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…13e5backed BoomBoys | 57c | 18.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.