CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f632ec3cef958d14881eb6b08fdd0db38486335d3ffbc8d5a41bda5bd928d32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof MOUZ, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 32c | 26,640$8,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,414 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed FUT Esports | 67c | 22,383$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,383.18 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 68c | 18,210$12,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,751.06 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked MOUZ | 33c | 16,621$5,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,468.79 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…4adbbacked FUT Esports | 68c | 5,882$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.35 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed MOUZ | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…8830backed MOUZ | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…12babacked MOUZ | 40c | 2,435$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.77 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed FUT Esports | 69c | 1,633$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.33 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FUT Esports | 60c | 830$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked FUT Esports | 68c | 670.78$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.74 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed FUT Esports | 68c | 669.34$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.31 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked FUT Esports | 60c | 632.35$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed FUT Esports | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FUT Esports | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked MOUZ | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FUT Esports | 69c | 473.2$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed FUT Esports | 67c | 455$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.15 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed MOUZ | 33c | 453.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…8930backed FUT Esports | 67c | 421.43$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.02 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FUT Esports | 69c | 405.39$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…71e4backed FUT Esports | 67c | 270$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed MOUZ | 32c | 231.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FUT Esports | 67c | 220.31$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked FUT Esports | 74c | 214.93$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ | 32c | 213.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53da…7603backed FUT Esports | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed MOUZ | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked FUT Esports | 74c | 196.4$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…deffbacked FUT Esports | 67c | 158.7$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…2e29backed FUT Esports | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…dd56backed FUT Esports | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed FUT Esports | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed FUT Esports | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…a470backed MOUZ | 34c | 143.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6b2bbacked MOUZ | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed MOUZ | 44c | 134.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2914…aff6backed FUT Esports | 67c | 117.91$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked FUT Esports | 60c | 94.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked MOUZ | 28c | 81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…bcd6backed FUT Esports | 75c | 81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed MOUZ | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FUT Esports | 72c | 76.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…3a09backed FUT Esports | 69c | 60.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked MOUZ | 29c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x504e…7ad9backed FUT Esports | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed MOUZ | 23c | 54.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed MOUZ | 23c | 54.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed FUT Esports | 68c | 53.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed MOUZ | 31c | 52.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked FUT Esports | 65c | 43.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked MOUZ | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed MOUZ | 33c | 36.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…5addbacked FUT Esports | 67c | 33.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…3d33backed FUT Esports | 78c | 32.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 422 | 74.2%313 W · 109 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcc…77efbacked MOUZ | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…fbccbacked MOUZ | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…a18abacked FUT Esports | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed FUT Esports | 68c | 29.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed FUT Esports | 68c | 29.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed FUT Esports | 68c | 28.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FUT Esports | 69c | 27.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked FUT Esports | 72c | 27.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…8989backed FUT Esports | 78c | 25.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…7f56backed FUT Esports | 68c | 21.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…62c8backed FUT Esports | 72c | 20.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked FUT Esports | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 173 | 60.1%104 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…ddc2backed FUT Esports | 69c | 15.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f37…b592backed FUT Esports | 78c | 12.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…2278backed FUT Esports | 78c | 12.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 55 | 74.5%41 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.