CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe404cbced1c96845a2bdac7766ed46c82563fad4b6b5117fd469a0647c188ae2

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $49,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,654 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf559…f462backed Over	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	190	55.8%106 W · 84 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under	50c	18,829$9,415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,414.58	882	42.3%373 W · 509 L	-13.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	51c	10,592$5,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,240.87	1,714	46.7%801 W · 913 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,449.95	500	54.4%272 W · 228 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	49c	4,236$2,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,067.16	495	36.4%180 W · 315 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	49c	3,784$1,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,853.4	694	45%312 W · 382 L	-24.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,469.99	149	34.9%52 W · 97 L	-14.1wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under	52c	2,985$1,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,427.04	1,496	51.5%771 W · 725 L	-7.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under	51c	2,263$1,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,098.66	288	43.1%124 W · 164 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Over	49c	1,310$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Over	47c	1,207$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.37	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.16	359	40.4%145 W · 214 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2f5…24adbacked Under	58c	1,025$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	190	61.6%117 W · 73 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Over	48c	555$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.4	386	50.8%196 W · 190 L	+11.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Over	49c	510.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	395	48.6%192 W · 203 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	576	41.1%237 W · 339 L	-21.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x314c…975fbacked Over	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	59	71.2%42 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Over	43c	374.08$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.65	161	42.9%69 W · 92 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	44c	351.33$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.17	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over	48c	339.28$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.24	350	54.6%191 W · 159 L	+17.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Over	47c	317.77$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.4	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under	51c	312$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.88	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Under	52c	288.46$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.46	86	41.9%36 W · 50 L	-7.6wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed Over	50c	268$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	237	57%135 W · 102 L	-8.3wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	51c	244.02$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.57	231	45.9%106 W · 125 L	-7.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce6…ba88backed Over	49c	220$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.8	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Over	49c	209.12$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.47	193	47.2%91 W · 102 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	379	49.3%187 W · 192 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.92	280	42.5%119 W · 161 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over	7c	190.79$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.92	1,650	32.7%540 W · 1,110 L	-49.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Under	51c	169.86$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.23	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	42c	166.08$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.98	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Under	51c	158.04$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.44	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Under	51c	150$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.5	165	50.3%83 W · 82 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	52c	149.7$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.17	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Under	48c	113.89$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.05	721	39.7%286 W · 435 L	-25.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefbd…65fabacked Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over	48c	100.1$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.05	1,618	46.8%758 W · 860 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	51c	96.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.7	2,326	45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over	48c	91.48$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.91	207	55.1%114 W · 93 L	+11.2wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4f1…2fa5backed Over	50c	90$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	47c	81.33$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.22	919	45.8%421 W · 498 L	-10.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Under	52c	75.37$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.18	324	58%188 W · 136 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	52c	74.99$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.25	325	54.8%178 W · 147 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b10…2920backed Over	49c	67.63$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.14	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under	52c	66.98$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.25	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	90	44.4%40 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Under	53c	57.13$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.13	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4223…42c7backed Over	37c	55.76$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	29	75.9%22 W · 7 L	+7.2wins	+0.25per pick	51cpaid	+47.6%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over	50c	54$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	390	38.5%150 W · 240 L	-17.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Over	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-3.6wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x91c5…c7bbbacked Over	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	50	66%33 W · 17 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over	41c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	351	41.6%146 W · 205 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under	52c	49$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.73	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Over	28c	44.65$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	235	26.4%62 W · 173 L	-15.2wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Over	28c	44.65$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	176	26.1%46 W · 130 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Over	42c	43.16$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.28	229	54.6%125 W · 104 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9f3…839dbacked Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	988	56.1%554 W · 434 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce0a…2a11backed Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	112	54.5%61 W · 51 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd8e…568abacked Over	52c	40.37$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.99	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x497e…a18abacked Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	69	58%40 W · 29 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over	48c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	347	42.9%149 W · 198 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked Over	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb4d…346dbacked Over	49c	39.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.54	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Under	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Under	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16e9…27f3backed Under	52c	38.37$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.42	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8008…8f1fbacked Over	49c	32.65$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea6a…f194backed Over	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	186	43.5%81 W · 105 L	-8.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f21…8af5backed Over	48c	31.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	90	56.7%51 W · 39 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae7c…2c74backed Over	49c	30.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	67cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed Over	49c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c55…e0f8backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+4.6wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+43.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d75…3f15backed Over	52c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa58c…56e3backed Over	48c	29.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	338	69.8%236 W · 102 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Over	49c	29.02$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	33	72.7%24 W · 9 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	48c	27.66$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.28	1,407	38.9%547 W · 860 L	-41.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73a5…95febacked Over	48c	25.83$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over	48c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	564	54.3%306 W · 258 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Over	51c	23.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	264	43.2%114 W · 150 L	-10.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e1…c2babacked Under	56c	23.39$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.39	471	46.7%220 W · 251 L	+14.5wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Under	51c	22.66$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	143	35%50 W · 93 L	-13.4wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-26%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb44…f556backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	72	58.3%42 W · 30 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca6…9da8backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-3.9wins	-0.17per pick	56cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	393	38.2%150 W · 243 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsFUT Esports won
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event