Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6634f475e030a2ae9fbd74034c0d88aa5ca50ee8026cbc4a8942e80e55836434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sarpsborg 08 FFof Viking FK, Sarpsborg 08 FF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Viking FK | 47c | 29,448$13,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,840.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 53c | 12,017$6,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,618 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 53c | 11,236$5,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,281.02 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Viking FK | 47c | 3,821$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.73 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 52c | 3,452$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.89 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 53c | 1,908$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.76 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 53c | 1,826$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.01 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 74c | 1,824$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.46 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 45c | 1,424$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Viking FK | 48c | 1,135$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.86 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 50c | 915.69$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.5 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Viking FK | 47c | 648.14$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.95 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 53c | 562.68$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.46 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Viking FK | 41c | 481.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Viking FK | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 53c | 376$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.72 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8676backed Viking FK | 40c | 275$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 53c | 268.32$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.11 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed Viking FK | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 53c | 199.19$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +14.0wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 53c | 180.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 50c | 176.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256c…259bbacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 53c | 135.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 53c | 112.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 52c | 106.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39af…1174backed Viking FK | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Viking FK | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…fbccbacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 56c | 89.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Viking FK | 47c | 63.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Viking FK | 48c | 56.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 53c | 49.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 60c | 40.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…f8b9backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 53c | 29.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e1…0ee8backed Viking FK | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 60c | 25.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 60c | 24.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 51c | 21.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.