Other European Leagues · resolved market
Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f9495c4b993cdc31bf3329d16d8830aab77353b5b84da3a287d31074c7d3a69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 1,747$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 25c | 1,478$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.58 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 60c | 199.97$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…f749backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 37c | 101.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 68c | 99.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 16c | 76.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 37c | 64.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…b9f8backed Under | 40c | 49.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 38c | 46.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Over | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 44c | 24.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.