Other European Leagues · resolved market
Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71c1d62a39b4ff0138b755bddaca3b8b383af9a6c49b5be042e2e5d28080e2f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 2c | 5,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 72c | 4,088$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 55c | 3,115$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.53 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 35c | 2,273$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.6 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 1,959$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.42 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 1,740$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.53 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 1,656$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.75 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 1,305$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b2…4bfcbacked Under | 3c | 837.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf131…36f7backed Over | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 48c | 449.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.49 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 48c | 435.54$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.63 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 15c | 404.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.06 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 68c | 354.29$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.31 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 27c | 179.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.02 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 27c | 171.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 72c | 170.87$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 80c | 170$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 70c | 139.37$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 43c | 136.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 34c | 119.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 53c | 107.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 28c | 98.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 51c | 87.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 28c | 84.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Under | 76c | 71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 72c | 65.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed Under | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 50c | 52.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 36c | 41.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…ed67backed Under | 51c | 38.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 55c | 33.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 49c | 33.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 54c | 31.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 40c | 27.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 73c | 25.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Over | 69c | 15.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.