Other European Leagues · resolved market
Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7be79eea2adc1f127598a4aeb59707778c704f4fcbb30c0858bc39b6ca22db44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 48c | 12,556$6,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,529.19 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 48c | 12,553$6,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,527.64 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 10,363$6,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 5,622$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.29 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 5,247$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.87 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…040ebacked Over | 48c | 1,540$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 2c | 1,415$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 78c | 1,364$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.65 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 1,273$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.79 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 1,243$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.55 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 999.93$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.96 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 51c | 685.23$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.76 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 62c | 577.41$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.69 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 52c | 576.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 52c | 576.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 71c | 492.96$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 52c | 480.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…4727backed Over | 53c | 452.83$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 78c | 421.12$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 49c | 321.4$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.37 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 59c | 296.29$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 60c | 282.77$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.11 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 78c | 260.12$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Over | 50c | 174.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 164$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 50c | 151.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 51c | 149.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 52c | 145$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 50c | 123.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 60c | 122.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 50c | 117$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 53c | 102.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Under | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 59c | 99.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 65c | 94.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Under | 58c | 92.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 56c | 89.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 58c | 89.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 50c | 80.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 35c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 69.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 54c | 67.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 51c | 62.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 52c | 62.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 52c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…68dabacked Over | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 45c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 34c | 47.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 78c | 40.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 55c | 32.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +14.0wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 75c | 22.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Under | 57c | 21.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 49c | 20.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 50c | 20.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.