Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fcc68419176211a3709b0b8a8b57f94319934ba10cbd8535e6401a8ab4a87af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sarpsborg 08 FFof Viking FK, Sarpsborg 08 FF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Viking FK | 22c | 975.02$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.73 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Viking FK | 18c | 849.27$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.46 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 72c | 741.96$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.68 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Viking FK | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 71c | 291.45$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 71c | 255.44$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Viking FK | 29c | 210.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc099…923ebacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Viking FK | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16ddbacked Viking FK | 22c | 91.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd42…05a7backed Viking FK | 29c | 47.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 72c | 18.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.