Asian League · resolved market
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x814f8413bb60cd3ccf52e5afb42f6f18d604c5691ec1ad149ee2c959fa1ac2be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Yes | 51c | 3,695$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 2,587$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.35 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Yes | 52c | 2,100$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 1,785$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.11 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,482$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.22 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 49c | 1,122$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.56 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 51c | 914.91$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.79 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 52c | 830.49$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.49 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 48c | 732.67$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.68 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 49c | 608.06$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.27 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 48c | 555.54$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.66 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed No | 53c | 554.98$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.45 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 48c | 451.38$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.66 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 49c | 363.34$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.27 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 236.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 49c | 201.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Yes | 51c | 197.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 178.53$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 51c | 174.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 49c | 165.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 49c | 149.64$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 51c | 100.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 49c | 88.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 48c | 53.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 49c | 50.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…7f05backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…2602backed No | 51c | 24.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb2…5b41backed Yes | 52c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 0.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: Yokohama F·Marinos O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.