TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under35c15,922$5,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,552.9112639.7%50 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under60c6,382$3,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8122,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over60c5,452$3,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.5489245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over53c5,116$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.912,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over38c3,813$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.22462.5%15 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+70.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over60c2,909$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.795,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under47c2,228$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.272236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under41c1,518$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.3792835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under45c1,379$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.721,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under45c1,344$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006238.7%24 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under36c1,138$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.934042.5%17 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x418d…0595backed Over63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over46c774.65$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.719965.3%130 W · 69 L+27.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+39.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under40c727.73$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.099268.5%63 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over58c595.83$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4527148%130 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25010823.1%25 W · 83 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over56c454.53$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.274254.8%23 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+119.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over54c448.07$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3219340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under5c440$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over9c400$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.9135751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over34c397.03$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.0414429.2%42 W · 102 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd36…6674backed Over62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.582365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over50c313.44$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.591,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under44c304.55$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1349241.3%38 W · 54 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over9c291$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.8117041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Over9c226$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+333.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under45c177.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.821144.5%94 W · 117 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over64c177.25$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2137153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over64c162.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2225155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5212074.2%89 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over48c151$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1944152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under38c149.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under42c142$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.644854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over65c131.44$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.749152.7%48 W · 43 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over41c122.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.824753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x78ad…b32ebacked Over51c118.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010340.8%42 W · 61 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over49c103.09$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.466248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over42c99.52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.727647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Under70c99.41$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.74247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under47c92.37$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6919261.5%118 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over51c89.96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1542625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Over62c88.02$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.846460.9%39 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460c…b5b5backed Over62c86.77$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.167973.4%58 W · 21 L+11.6wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+24.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under53c83.56$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.675846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.626052.7%137 W · 123 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over35c78.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6777056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over56c78.59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4331960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under52c69.06$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3625742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under56c63.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.849339.8%37 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9772…6700backed Under67c59.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.522450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under46c58.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9934847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under52c54.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.099146.2%42 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed Under28c53.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+145%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed Under60c53.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under58c52.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7714948.3%72 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under47c51.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4123859.7%142 W · 96 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5492…d420backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick50cpaid-82.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Over62c43.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.737570.7%53 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over64c41.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.879265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over54c38.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.644540%18 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8810960.6%66 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over51c36.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.842454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over65c35.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5216659.6%99 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9991…b2cebacked Over57c35.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.11428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under45c33.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.034748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over44c33.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.614663%29 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+49.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.32176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.210441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf83b…167dbacked Over46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd691…fcc6backed Under40c29.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x658f…35a6backed Under40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d12…ccc3backed Over51c23.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.53757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Over65c23.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.218056.3%45 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over51c23.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.399545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f5…1b50backed Over66c22.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.593375.8%25 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over65c16.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.814768.1%32 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8974…fc7cbacked Over64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.