Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c64010a177364959f1bd35b7a31dfbd606c9aac3cb3ef83b5c1a8fa0bb8f6a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yokohama F·Marinosof Kashima Antlers, Yokohama F·Marinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Kashima Antlers | 9c | 2,481$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.67 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Kashima Antlers | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Kashima Antlers | 22c | 115$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yokohama F·Marinos | 80c | 86.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…7203backed Yokohama F·Marinos | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Kashima Antlers | 18c | 56.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kashima Antlers | 22c | 55.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Kashima Antlers | 24c | 43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yokohama F·Marinos | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 0.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: Yokohama F·Marinos O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.