Asian League · resolved market
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab2aeece32129220799e19fb62a289a6907218d0c0230de806893324c8728b52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 39c | 5,892$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.24 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…984abacked Under | 15c | 4,521$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 13c | 2,841$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.35 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 28c | 2,815$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.5 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…401fbacked Under | 15c | 2,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 55c | 2,345$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.28 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…1417backed Under | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…b35cbacked Under | 13c | 1,951$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 65c | 1,829$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.16 | 359 | 47.4%170 W · 189 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 66c | 1,723$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.79 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 68c | 1,692$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.32 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…dff1backed Under | 79c | 1,525$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 46c | 1,456$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.98 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84d2…399bbacked Under | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…fd69backed Under | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under | 3c | 1,053$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 51c | 1,025$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.8 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 62c | 1,007$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.82 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…0595backed Over | 34c | 911.68$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 26c | 830.38$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.66 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 35c | 576.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.36 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 28c | 536.51$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.67 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 22c | 467.56$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.16 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Under | 73c | 411.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 21c | 390.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 17c | 337.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 5c | 310$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.5 | 177 | 42.4%75 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 70c | 308.04$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.49 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 56c | 266.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 10c | 216.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 216.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.94 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 43c | 159.89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Over | 69c | 157.35$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 70c | 154.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 147.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5492…d420backed Under | 68c | 143.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 50cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ba…a7c4backed Under | 70c | 139.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 39c | 133.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 49c | 124.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 219 | 53.9%118 W · 101 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 45c | 90.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…8c3ebacked Over | 18c | 83.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +346.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 62c | 78.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 27c | 75.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…2c16backed Over | 68c | 73.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 24c | 64.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Over | 74c | 56.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +90%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 36c | 43.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 66c | 36.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 66c | 36.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 64c | 33.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 40c | 32.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Under | 68c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Under | 68c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 39c | 28.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 346 | 59.8%207 W · 139 L | +49.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 60c | 21.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…c002backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 67c | 18.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 320 | 60%192 W · 128 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Under | 72c | 16.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 65c | 16.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 69c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 0.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: Yokohama F·Marinos O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.