Asian League · resolved market
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ec7b2a64927fe58e3a2d4878c18ab3ca455fb847f79355f9a94057792ce6a7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 38c | 8,255$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.95 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 42c | 2,744$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.96 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 58c | 2,231$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.45 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 64c | 1,972$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.82 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 40c | 1,384$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 59c | 1,286$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.52 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 56c | 1,079$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.2 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 61c | 1,054$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.19 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 41c | 711.07$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.53 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…5297backed Over | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 557.38$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.36 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 58c | 551.97$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.73 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 40c | 541.66$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 13c | 538.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 508.47$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.72 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.83 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 41c | 364$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.76 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 43c | 362.37$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.49 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 7c | 285.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 62c | 267$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 55c | 255.75$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 40c | 242.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…deedbacked Over | 42c | 226.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 64c | 215.63$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 60c | 204.8$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…b32ebacked Over | 43c | 202.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 44c | 198$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 45c | 193.38$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 8c | 172$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 41c | 163.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 45c | 153.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 35c | 149.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 55c | 147$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 57c | 117.79$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…0904backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…4727backed Over | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 59c | 97.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 41c | 89.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 80c | 88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 59c | 87.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 43c | 82.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 43c | 80.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Over | 64c | 70.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 42c | 64.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Over | 41c | 58.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 64c | 57.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 59c | 52.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 50.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 41c | 49.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…a7e9backed Over | 43c | 47.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 59c | 46.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 40c | 42.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Over | 66c | 40.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 56c | 31.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 67c | 30.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 59c | 30.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Under | 49c | 23.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 67c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 64c | 18.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Under | 59c | 17.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 0.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: Yokohama F·Marinos O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.