TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Asian League · resolved market

Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,801
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,801 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under33c8,016$2,648 inLost-$2,647.7213740.1%55 W · 82 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over69c3,772$2,616 inWon+$1,155.86,02846.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L+50.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over67c2,000$1,340 inWon+$6601,88250%941 W · 941 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under2c1,200$20 inLost-$19.6421542.3%91 W · 124 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef54…1444backed Under30c738.99$221 inLost-$221.44042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over67c599.99$402 inWon+$19817347.4%82 W · 91 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over67c590.18$395 inWon+$194.782,61237.8%988 W · 1,624 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over70c526.45$368 inWon+$158.792,65040.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L-17.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over67c410.52$275 inWon+$135.4799344.4%441 W · 552 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over67c410$275 inWon+$135.335833%118 W · 240 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under34c297.92$100 inLost-$100.451,57535.2%554 W · 1,021 L-36.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over66c219.03$145 inWon+$74.4716847.6%80 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over69c213.31$146 inWon+$67.0533360.7%202 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over72c200.15$143 inWon+$56.7219261.5%118 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over67c200$134 inWon+$6621953%116 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over71c176$124 inWon+$51.526960.9%42 W · 27 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over69c149.92$104 inWon+$46.3135751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over70c137.57$96 inWon+$41.9624559.6%146 W · 99 L+17.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over68c111.87$76 inWon+$36.1925561.6%157 W · 98 L+17.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x460c…b5b5backed Over71c101.23$72 inWon+$29.557973.4%58 W · 21 L+11.6wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+24.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under33c99.57$33 inLost-$32.511,80436.6%660 W · 1,144 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over67c80.62$54 inWon+$26.65455.6%30 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over75c73.36$55 inWon+$18.521,08441.5%450 W · 634 L-39.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Over69c62.81$43 inWon+$19.616460.9%39 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under19c54.66$10 inLost-$10.346848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Over69c50.72$35 inWon+$15.722962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over68c48.53$33 inWon+$15.5337651.9%195 W · 181 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over68c48.09$32 inWon+$15.69545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7f…6d8dbacked Over70c43.03$30 inWon+$13.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+61.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97d4…7b65backed Under28c42.35$12 inLost-$11.86633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over72c40.96$29 inWon+$11.4739247.7%187 W · 205 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over69c37$26 inWon+$11.4720741.1%85 W · 122 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under31c36.74$11 inLost-$11.3942750.4%215 W · 212 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Over69c26.21$18 inWon+$8.097570.7%53 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb0e1…6935backed Over73c25$18 inWon+$6.71675%12 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f5…1b50backed Over68c22$15 inWon+$7.043375.8%25 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over68c19.9$14 inWon+$6.3689038.1%339 W · 551 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over67c19.38$13 inWon+$6.417160.8%104 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…93f9backed Over69c16.96$12 inWon+$5.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-51.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.