TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Donghyun Hwang

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yuki Mochizukiof Yuki Mochizuki, Donghyun Hwang
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,973 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Donghyun Hwang25c42,280$10,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,380.4411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yuki Mochizuki80c19,380$15,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,963.794,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Yuki Mochizuki71c11,490$8,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,351.4762956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed Donghyun Hwang31c3,676$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15020447.5%97 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Yuki Mochizuki74c3,243$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.411,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yuki Mochizuki65c3,018$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.2325144.6%112 W · 139 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yuki Mochizuki71c2,830$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.796,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yuki Mochizuki78c2,121$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.867,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb18c…694fbacked Yuki Mochizuki69c1,875$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.252951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Yuki Mochizuki71c1,402$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.2736548.2%176 W · 189 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Donghyun Hwang24c1,324$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.428,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Donghyun Hwang17c814.84$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.871,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Yuki Mochizuki65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2311760.7%71 W · 46 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Yuki Mochizuki74c754.62$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.862,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Donghyun Hwang23c710.83$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.481,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x940c…6f91backed Yuki Mochizuki77c677.24$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.649057.8%52 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+66.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Yuki Mochizuki77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3524452.5%128 W · 116 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b36ebacked Donghyun Hwang26c530.44$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2150946.6%237 W · 272 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Yuki Mochizuki71c478.16$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.272147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424c…8580backed Donghyun Hwang18c370.57$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.073053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+59.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Donghyun Hwang29c362.03$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6288358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Donghyun Hwang4c356.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.251,02554%554 W · 471 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yuki Mochizuki78c342.79$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0639446.7%184 W · 210 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Yuki Mochizuki77c340.15$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6219540%78 W · 117 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0052…30bcbacked Donghyun Hwang29c331.64$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Donghyun Hwang35c324$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.456153.7%301 W · 260 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Donghyun Hwang28c322.28$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.816,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dbe…7833backed Donghyun Hwang25c320.1$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9915115.9%24 W · 127 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Donghyun Hwang23c293.19$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.521,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Donghyun Hwang27c265.55$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.413,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73bf…34b3backed Donghyun Hwang4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Yuki Mochizuki73c226$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0324052.5%126 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…73a4backed Donghyun Hwang27c219.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba0…0111backed Donghyun Hwang24c212.8$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.395653.6%30 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Donghyun Hwang24c193.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.691,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Donghyun Hwang24c192.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.216,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Yuki Mochizuki74c182.35$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9521351.6%110 W · 103 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yuki Mochizuki77c161.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2362952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Donghyun Hwang23c140.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.348,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e5…e6adbacked Donghyun Hwang31c137.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7110310.7%11 W · 92 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Donghyun Hwang28c104.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.285,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd691…fcc6backed Donghyun Hwang29c104.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yuki Mochizuki76c96.72$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5621147.9%101 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Donghyun Hwang12c95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.410543.8%46 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Yuki Mochizuki80c81$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.225546.7%119 W · 136 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd27d…fa96backed Donghyun Hwang27c79.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8913557.8%78 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c42…eef8backed Donghyun Hwang23c74.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.191040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Yuki Mochizuki69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4696049.5%475 W · 485 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Donghyun Hwang27c71.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2935851.7%185 W · 173 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Yuki Mochizuki77c69.96$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8715651.3%80 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc354…0386backed Donghyun Hwang22c67.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.19540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f1…f02dbacked Yuki Mochizuki72c66.08$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.56448.4%31 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Yuki Mochizuki77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9492355.8%515 W · 408 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed Yuki Mochizuki77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9428557.9%165 W · 120 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yuki Mochizuki80c62.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.581,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Yuki Mochizuki72c61$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0829851.7%154 W · 144 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a0e…70dabacked Donghyun Hwang23c47.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Donghyun Hwang28c46.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.951,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x083c…65f2backed Yuki Mochizuki78c45.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.914645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2738…8abfbacked Donghyun Hwang23c44.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f1…aec9backed Donghyun Hwang25c41.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.14520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Yuki Mochizuki74c40.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3142359.1%250 W · 173 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Yuki Mochizuki77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9692554.8%507 W · 418 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Yuki Mochizuki77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9649056.9%279 W · 211 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7629…ef05backed Yuki Mochizuki77c38.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9837262.9%234 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Yuki Mochizuki74c38.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0460341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e7…55a9backed Donghyun Hwang31c37.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.551030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cb2…ee14backed Donghyun Hwang38c36.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.78356.6%47 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yuki Mochizuki79c35.15$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.261,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Yuki Mochizuki70c33.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0265259.4%387 W · 265 L+31.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bed…c30bbacked Yuki Mochizuki77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4710643.4%46 W · 60 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Yuki Mochizuki65c30.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7278857.1%450 W · 338 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Yuki Mochizuki71c26.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7242748.7%208 W · 219 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Yuki Mochizuki70c26.09$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8935039.4%138 W · 212 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Yuki Mochizuki78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2319256.8%109 W · 83 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Yuki Mochizuki72c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527363.4%173 W · 100 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Yuki Mochizuki74c17.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5140861.3%250 W · 158 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Yuki Mochizuki72c17.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8175350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ad…2602backed Yuki Mochizuki68c16.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.334645.7%21 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x477c…fe04backed Yuki Mochizuki76c13.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.165961%36 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1355…fa13backed Yuki Mochizuki78c12.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.88887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick68cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.