TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$236,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,332 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x122b…ac59backed No43c21,266$9,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,114.18743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No55c16,000$8,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,774.414768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes36c12,588$4,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,109.667950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No44c9,919$4,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,386.773026.7%8 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes74c9,692$7,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.8613373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes35c9,119$3,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,927.2718352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No31c9,104$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.042,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes53c7,507$3,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,540.15248.1%25 W · 27 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+10.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes56c6,128$3,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.521,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No64c5,137$3,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,287.612755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No66c4,103$2,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,721.971,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes52c3,468$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.4657540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No66c3,411$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,258.611,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No73c3,354$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.196350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No64c3,090$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.642962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked No4c2,496$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4515552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c2,071$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.645,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked No47c1,887$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.83129%9 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+287.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No45c1,778$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.997723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c1,645$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.021,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes27c1,643$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.6521366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked No49c1,580$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77411817.8%21 W · 97 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No65c1,538$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.16553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No29c1,503$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.556232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes45c1,271$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.421,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes37c1,200$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7565133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes58c1,036$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.198,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c981.28$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.863,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes76c964.76$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3533152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No67c701.57$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.21,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes37c565$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.083852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed No29c563.38$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3812340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No57c545.76$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.350656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes31c477.23$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2927549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010146.5%47 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes31c445.05$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.1345253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No40c423.16$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.912738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb2…ee14backed Yes43c391.85$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+48.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012535.2%44 W · 81 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No64c328$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9230754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No52c319.68$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.7869453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Yes27c289.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.691861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb6…9fe0backed Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.711464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No65c266.68$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.262,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No64c248$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.954841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No65c240$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes50c239.54$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1189846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x381c…c62dbacked No63c232.98$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.781030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes52c224$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.521,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No31c214.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3516641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Yes73c204$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.088760.9%53 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked Yes27c199.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.193630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5247…ece7backed No28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No64c178$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7772058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No65c169.18$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.976759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked No64c163.34$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057463.5%47 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked No65c151.51$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.481656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No64c136.84$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1316751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes35c136.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.427843.6%34 W · 44 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes62c135.88$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6342946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x94aa…a526backed No30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3600…d8a6backed Yes38c130.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.217100%7 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+84.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x705f…f413backed No51c126.92$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No52c126.12$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656665.2%43 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No66c126.1$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2455946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No65c123$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.956823.5%16 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Yes37c121.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.627549.3%37 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Yes37c121.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.626349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Yes31c118.46$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.067542.7%32 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked No64c116.81$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5519164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No64c113.65$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3426465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96d0…2c89backed No66c113.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes49c111.03$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.511,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No69c107.82$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.948166.7%54 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No14c104.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8882434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked No36c98.27$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.512433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b4…e755backed No36c97.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd20f…78e1backed Yes49c96.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes31c93.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7627349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed No55c90.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.153452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No66c89$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0525955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa7…977abacked No30c83.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.891637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes33c82.35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1834747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d2c…00b5backed No33c82.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.121145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.416842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No25c79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6530847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed No65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked No65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99bf…e840backed Yes33c70$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Yes27c70$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.129653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d5a…4063backed Yes74c66.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.265100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes52c62.76$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.056350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No49c61.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3045746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No29c59.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.45446.3%25 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes70c58.11$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4319040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes37c55.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.781,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fae…8f07backed No27c54.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8349…55d7backed Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.05650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes62c53.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.478347%39 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.