South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24f592f3dc9588f71bf7d07a0cd133f0835bceda64f310fd50e0434d2f7a9409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 5,918$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.71 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 34c | 4,869$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.59 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 3,547$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.89 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 3,404$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.64 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 2,409$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.78 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 66c | 1,634$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.38 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 1,125$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…5ac0backed Yes | 36c | 1,042$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 990.1$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.23 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 448.61$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 269.62$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 36c | 240$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 20c | 225.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 214.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 79c | 204.11$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 179.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 79c | 153.65$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 36c | 152.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 35c | 136.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 72c | 117.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 80c | 112.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 64c | 102.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 100.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed No | 69c | 98.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed No | 77c | 95.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 22c | 95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 65c | 85.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 64c | 83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 71c | 81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 34c | 79.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 63.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 37c | 44.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 34c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 35c | 31.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16de…d569backed Yes | 35c | 31.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 76c | 23.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-08?Yes won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.