South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14cbe712e3fd1561ff7b9cf3895633e43b3afe14264994951bd139165733ea92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 6c | 22,247$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.67 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…fb79backed Yes | 8c | 6,169$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.98 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…5ac0backed Yes | 28c | 2,172$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 1,537$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.62 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 1,527$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.75 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 1,424$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.07 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 69c | 980.93$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.57 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 852.15$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…57fcbacked Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 379.37$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.22 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 15c | 321.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 33c | 300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 32c | 289$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 32c | 260$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 66c | 248.6$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 19c | 237.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 29c | 222$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…7d36backed Yes | 10c | 185.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 13c | 156.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 13c | 151.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 14c | 117.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 11c | 116.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Yes | 28c | 96.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 31c | 74.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed No | 69c | 72.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked No | 69c | 72.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked No | 69c | 72.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 73c | 53.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 69c | 46.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 41.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Yes | 25c | 40.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 27c | 39.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 33c | 39.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 67c | 31.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…82cebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 69c | 16.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.