Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Leicestershire vs Warwickshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4dca85136632881869e4246323d85fc533f29774e2d4d4019c5050f05e6a024
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leicestershireof Leicestershire, Warwickshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Warwickshire | 24c | 7,197$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.83 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Warwickshire | 11c | 4,667$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.1 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leicestershire | 53c | 1,913$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.64 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Leicestershire | 60c | 1,720$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.89 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leicestershire | 59c | 1,181$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.2 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warwickshire | 22c | 913.96$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.39 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Warwickshire | 44c | 762.09$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.42 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Leicestershire | 50c | 513.98$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.32 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Warwickshire | 53c | 406.28$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.69 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Warwickshire | 49c | 405.05$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.47 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Leicestershire | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Warwickshire | 42c | 333.36$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.52 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Warwickshire | 50c | 324.32$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.91 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Warwickshire | 45c | 315.03$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b3…1fd0backed Leicestershire | 52c | 268.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.69 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Leicestershire | 59c | 251.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Leicestershire | 54c | 227.08$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Leicestershire | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +199.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Leicestershire | 53c | 184$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Warwickshire | 57c | 179.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…8679backed Warwickshire | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Warwickshire | 40c | 88.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Warwickshire | 33c | 84.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Leicestershire | 53c | 75.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Leicestershire | 58c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Leicestershire | 73c | 71.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Leicestershire | 76c | 65.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Leicestershire | 54c | 63.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Warwickshire | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Leicestershire | 62c | 53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Warwickshire | 49c | 46.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Warwickshire | 43c | 45.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893f…3660backed Leicestershire | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Leicestershire | 66c | 39.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Leicestershire | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Leicestershire | 51c | 38.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Warwickshire | 43c | 37.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Leicestershire | 57c | 34.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Leicestershire | 68c | 33.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Warwickshire | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…2602backed Warwickshire | 43c | 29.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Leicestershire | 56c | 25.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Warwickshire | 48c | 21.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.