Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-08-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26e4549262c01214e1ad65c83fb4f42bef8d63f9af5982ea0e78983de5254073
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Yes | 31c | 8,168$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 4,062$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.49 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 2,794$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.6 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 75c | 2,631$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.07 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 1,047$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.22 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1adc…b884backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 647.52$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.48 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 499.18$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.18 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 42c | 479.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 59c | 422.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.42 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed No | 62c | 327.68$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 59c | 284$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 41c | 242.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 24c | 226.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 216.12$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…9522backed Yes | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +180.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 40c | 147.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…2e7cbacked No | 60c | 139$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 132.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 38c | 131.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed No | 63c | 130.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed Yes | 40c | 116.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 103.55$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 40c | 95.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 34c | 95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed No | 74c | 93.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 40c | 90.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 58c | 89.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed No | 72c | 87.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 60c | 81.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…7fcabacked Yes | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…de4fbacked No | 60c | 76.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 58c | 74.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 61c | 71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 66.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes | 41c | 58.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 69c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 37c | 44.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 40c | 43.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 64c | 41.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed No | 59c | 39.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 58c | 34.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 70c | 28.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked No | 58c | 25.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 64c | 25.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…6d05backed No | 60c | 24.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed No | 62c | 23.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…2602backed No | 61c | 20.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 76c | 17.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-08-07?this page
- Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-08-07?Yes won
- Will VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.