TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Tyler Zink

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Valentin Royerof Valentin Royer, Tyler Zink
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,864 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Tyler Zink9c3,110$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.18,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Tyler Zink15c2,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040935.7%146 W · 263 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tyler Zink13c2,415$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.148,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Tyler Zink6c2,035$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.144,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…4c29backed Tyler Zink9c999.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908326.5%22 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+72.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Tyler Zink11c700$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…1ae3backed Tyler Zink11c695$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.452347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x029b…2542backed Tyler Zink10c582$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.21216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valentin Royer80c420.95$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.197,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Valentin Royer75c333.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.331,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Tyler Zink10c301.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1275312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Tyler Zink9c300$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2864837.5%243 W · 405 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Tyler Zink7c261.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.281,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Tyler Zink12c244.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.776,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa15b…128abacked Valentin Royer72c197.55$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5514671.2%104 W · 42 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd854…3d3ebacked Tyler Zink13c163.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2970%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb1e…20aebacked Valentin Royer72c158.43$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.116560%39 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Tyler Zink27c145.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Valentin Royer72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8947058.5%275 W · 195 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Tyler Zink9c124.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.711,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Tyler Zink17c109$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.532,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x572b…83dbbacked Tyler Zink15c102$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151625%4 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Tyler Zink29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Tyler Zink11c94.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6544729.3%131 W · 316 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Tyler Zink26c93.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4155347.6%263 W · 290 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Valentin Royer71c90$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.169545.8%318 W · 377 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Tyler Zink27c70.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1133751.9%175 W · 162 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Tyler Zink31c45.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2421240.6%86 W · 126 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Tyler Zink29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.619452.1%101 W · 93 L-13.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Valentin Royer73c27.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.562,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Valentin Royer73c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4837058.4%216 W · 154 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.