TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,699
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,219

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,699 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4fd6…c61ebacked Yes68c18,379$12,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,811.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No43c10,264$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,410.482,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes26c10,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,40031643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No44c7,937$3,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,517.991,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No54c6,808$3,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,701.8375240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c2,750$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.651,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c2,104$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.211,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No1c2,025$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3510618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No40c2,011$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.4826835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes36c1,918$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.4315945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes27c1,898$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.0929037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c1,791$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.481,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes27c1,111$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.111136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb36…d19cbacked Yes50c953.72$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.86683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No2c856$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.123016.7%5 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No38c727.54$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.937540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes26c716.59$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.281,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No28c686.96$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.581,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No74c675$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.51,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No74c675$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.51,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No74c675$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.52,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes60c529$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8910364.1%66 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes50c493.17$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5755250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c472.86$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.913,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes60c459.25$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.852,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.622330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes59c338$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.5823733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No33c317.93$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1736339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes49c309.82$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5860156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes49c309.81$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe37c…ef29backed Yes44c308.86$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.96955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No39c291.14$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.298,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No28c262.97$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3112740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb1…b81dbacked Yes55c260.68$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No74c250$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18555946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked No10c220.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311220.5%23 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes49c201$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5672058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes61c164.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.151931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0882…dceabacked Yes26c151$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…a06abacked No75c147.81$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.861764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No73c142.85$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.493,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Yes37c140.54$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.543548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No10c140$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3516641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No48c110.38$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5224535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No74c108$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9210819.4%21 W · 87 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes34c104.17$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1664633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3735246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7315554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7520934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No74c85.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.631,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e33…45f6backed No75c85.93$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.453046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.242946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f8b…b723backed Yes63c78.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.862665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes55c72.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4726465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5f…f7aebacked Yes56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.434656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes53c70.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7535240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No73c69.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.421,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Yes36c63.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.46771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+41.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes26c61.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.547741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked No64c61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.043959%23 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes45c54.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0333152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3743…7bc1backed Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.052642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes43c47.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.038937.1%33 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes26c46.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1519543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e0…4983backed Yes37c43.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.381450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe325…34d0backed No25c40.68$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No34c40.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8450656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No36c35.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8269453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e1…b1aebacked Yes46c32.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.644971.4%35 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No74c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.217067.6%115 W · 55 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Yes49c29.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1515364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes54c28.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1121044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No46c28.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1167548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x572b…83dbbacked Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cf3…9628backed Yes65c27.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No75c25.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4616751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.31,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed No74c21.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611848.3%57 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68775.9%66 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x221d…be4abacked Yes61c18.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.133100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d19…d21dbacked Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No74c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.118557.8%107 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.