South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2748a256041b0ba7c5f0a976b1e4238c9db81a96026628baa7b1c3f9fb3e89a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 4,385$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 12c | 3,871$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.39 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 3,260$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.8 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed No | 80c | 2,991$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.28 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 6c | 2,397$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.35 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 5c | 1,798$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,738$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…132cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,667$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 4c | 1,548$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -70%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 13c | 1,356$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 1,267$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.38 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc32…92d2backed Yes | 16c | 1,265$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 15c | 1,251$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,179$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 13c | 950.56$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.85 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Yes | 20c | 775$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 20c | 625$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 6c | 452.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 13c | 419.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 3c | 408.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 13c | 407.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 9c | 393.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 18c | 337.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 4c | 278$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 267.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 254.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 9c | 251.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…f521backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Yes | 14c | 210.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Yes | 5c | 200.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 13c | 193$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 14c | 190.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 18c | 179.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 197 | 11.2%22 W · 175 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked Yes | 20c | 168$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 13c | 160.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Yes | 14c | 130.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 11c | 98.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes | 20c | 73.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Yes | 17c | 71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed No | 73c | 19.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed No | 80c | 14.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-29?this page
- Will Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.