Tennis · resolved market
Cancun: Darwin Blanch vs Lloyd Harris
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14d4b8a025acfae0cc5b4bea2da030916b6cd657a223a65d5cc8f2fb772dc047
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lloyd Harrisof Darwin Blanch, Lloyd Harris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lloyd Harris | 64c | 6,594$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.55 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Lloyd Harris | 66c | 6,159$4,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.26 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Darwin Blanch | 36c | 4,206$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Darwin Blanch | 36c | 4,197$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.5 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lloyd Harris | 63c | 4,088$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.7 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Darwin Blanch | 37c | 3,973$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.84 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Darwin Blanch | 1c | 2,096$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Darwin Blanch | 23c | 1,662$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.47 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Darwin Blanch | 36c | 1,193$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.55 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Darwin Blanch | 34c | 1,102$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.67 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Darwin Blanch | 37c | 1,023$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.09 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…999abacked Darwin Blanch | 36c | 841.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Darwin Blanch | 35c | 562.71$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.19 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Darwin Blanch | 36c | 540.17$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.46 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb284…b1fbbacked Darwin Blanch | 36c | 460.12$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Darwin Blanch | 21c | 453.45$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Darwin Blanch | 10c | 416.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Darwin Blanch | 11c | 411$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Darwin Blanch | 35c | 398.28$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.87 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Lloyd Harris | 69c | 292.35$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked Darwin Blanch | 35c | 277.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Lloyd Harris | 75c | 216.37$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked Darwin Blanch | 36c | 203$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Darwin Blanch | 18c | 193$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Lloyd Harris | 65c | 179.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Darwin Blanch | 29c | 151.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Lloyd Harris | 64c | 131.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed Darwin Blanch | 22c | 108.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Darwin Blanch | 34c | 106.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x572b…83dbbacked Darwin Blanch | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Darwin Blanch | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…ad81backed Darwin Blanch | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Darwin Blanch | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 327 | 47.7%156 W · 171 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Lloyd Harris | 67c | 96.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Darwin Blanch | 35c | 76.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Lloyd Harris | 79c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Darwin Blanch | 37c | 56.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Darwin Blanch | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…60e4backed Lloyd Harris | 66c | 50.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Darwin Blanch | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1c…5bc8backed Lloyd Harris | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lloyd Harris | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Darwin Blanch | 36c | 44.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Darwin Blanch | 35c | 33.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Lloyd Harris | 64c | 30.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 232 | 56.5%131 W · 101 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Darwin Blanch | 37c | 30.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0966…514bbacked Lloyd Harris | 65c | 29.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Darwin Blanch | 36c | 28.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Lloyd Harris | 55c | 24.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Lloyd Harris | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lloyd Harris | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lloyd Harris | 65c | 21.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Lloyd Harris | 65c | 18.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Lloyd Harris | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Lloyd Harris | 65c | 17.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cancun: Darwin Blanch vs Lloyd Harristhis page
- Set 1 Winner: Blanch vs HarrisHarris won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.