Tennis · resolved market
Kingston: Miguel Tobon vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32475562af6762957df0f38e99e3b688731350499607d9e49d2fea2345318e9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santosof Miguel Tobon, Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miguel Tobon | 9c | 19,187$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.33 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dd…fb67backed Miguel Tobon | 39c | 4,959$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.9 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…5269backed Miguel Tobon | 14c | 1,007$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.85 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 55c | 818.83$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.06 | 4,784 | 49.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L | +177.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 48c | 594.97$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.17 | 3,195 | 57.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L | +178.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 45c | 508.47$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.28 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Miguel Tobon | 49c | 500$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 571 | 44.1%252 W · 319 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miguel Tobon | 14c | 418.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 5,041 | 41.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L | -83.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Miguel Tobon | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,800 | 47.2%849 W · 951 L | -45.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 77c | 320.91$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Miguel Tobon | 40c | 255.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 1,316 | 39%513 W · 803 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 35c | 190$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 764 | 55%420 W · 344 L | +48.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 37c | 130.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.57 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…25a8backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 69c | 130$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Miguel Tobon | 36c | 121.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 442 | 47.3%209 W · 233 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 59c | 118.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 1,991 | 52.9%1,053 W · 938 L | +31.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 64c | 109.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 408 | 51.7%211 W · 197 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 2,053 | 47.8%982 W · 1,071 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Miguel Tobon | 14c | 88.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,496 | 43.6%652 W · 844 L | -29.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 53c | 83.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 63c | 76.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 1,306 | 65.3%853 W · 453 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Miguel Tobon | 66c | 71.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 1,085 | 49.9%541 W · 544 L | +47.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Miguel Tobon | 20c | 69.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 2,347 | 52.1%1,223 W · 1,124 L | +86.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1,023 | 50%511 W · 512 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed Miguel Tobon | 22c | 63.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 32c | 62.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 474 | 59.1%280 W · 194 L | +27.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,892 | 57.5%1,087 W · 805 L | +105.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Miguel Tobon | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 720 | 45.3%326 W · 394 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x572b…83dbbacked Miguel Tobon | 24c | 42.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…1c3cbacked Miguel Tobon | 40c | 42.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 75c | 41.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 383 | 65.5%251 W · 132 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 72c | 35.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 33c | 35.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 3,885 | 55%2,137 W · 1,748 L | +111.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 64c | 29.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 50c | 27.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 57c | 24.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 224 | 41.5%93 W · 131 L | -19.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Miguel Tobon | 68c | 20.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 4,376 | 52.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L | +67.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Miguel Tobon | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 795 | 38.4%305 W · 490 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.