Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Thun win on 2026-07-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02b11183e15a073eacffdaf1335bdc7513dab4179c205219841df14527aaf52d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 53c | 16,599$8,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,849.76 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 11,208$5,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,705.27 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 29c | 9,129$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,490.36 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 7,202$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.24 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 6c | 6,494$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.74 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 38c | 5,903$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.32 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 41c | 5,733$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.31 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 68c | 4,365$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.63 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 4,264$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.74 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 51c | 3,968$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.51 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Yes | 72c | 3,882$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed No | 40c | 3,598$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…c950backed Yes | 31c | 3,525$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 38c | 3,394$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked No | 49c | 3,176$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked No | 50c | 2,983$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 46c | 2,961$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.93 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed No | 42c | 2,885$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.77 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 49c | 2,743$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.66 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 67c | 2,713$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.52 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked No | 33c | 2,673$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.97 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.05 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 67c | 1,840$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.68 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 37c | 1,748$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.08 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 16c | 1,645$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.91 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 13c | 1,602$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.68 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,545$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.46 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…6754backed Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Yes | 55c | 1,399$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 45c | 1,399$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.82 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b7…c41cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,343$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.02 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,111$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.22 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 54c | 1,081$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.79 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 50c | 1,070$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Yes | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ab…d5a7backed No | 22c | 963.18$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 30c | 913.88$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.72 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Yes | 66c | 912.58$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 34c | 890.55$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.96 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed No | 44c | 863.51$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.59 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 51c | 860.23$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.94 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 51c | 853.28$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.36 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 9c | 848.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc73…d984backed Yes | 66c | 757.57$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…6c3cbacked Yes | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 45c | 722.93$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.38 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 12c | 579.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 10c | 498.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed No | 45c | 490$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…4f62backed Yes | 62c | 487.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed No | 35c | 486$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.36 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 22c | 440$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 80c | 426.54$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.23 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Yes | 71c | 422.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 65c | 418$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.3 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 66c | 412.07$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.53 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed No | 37c | 409.66$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.83 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed No | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 50c | 401.11$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.56 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +115%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…5597backed Yes | 53c | 390$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked No | 30c | 385.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.98 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bd…ff97backed Yes | 69c | 369.13$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 29c | 344.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.82 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 11c | 340$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 39c | 335.15$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.47 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 58c | 334.03$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.66 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 46c | 328.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 46c | 310.53$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.67 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 60c | 304.12$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f55…4178backed No | 70c | 292.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f53…5e9fbacked Yes | 73c | 280.89$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Yes | 11c | 269.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Yes | 57c | 260.68$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 72c | 260.34$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.45 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 67c | 254.72$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.58 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 32c | 248.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 74c | 244.14$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed No | 41c | 244$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Yes | 59c | 230$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 42c | 224.65$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.18 | 208 | 32.2%67 W · 141 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 69c | 221$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.83 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 220.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 38c | 200.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.35 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 72c | 199.62$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.22 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 12c | 197.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 55c | 191$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 66c | 185.69$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed No | 34c | 180.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 68c | 170.62$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 12c | 167.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…c687backed Yes | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Thun win on 2026-07-28?this page
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun end in a draw?Yes won
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-07-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.