TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,682 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes24c14,737$3,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,225.333839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ac…d2b1backed Yes78c13,827$10,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,097.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No8c9,203$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.171816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-62.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c5,501$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.651,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd7…89aabacked Yes68c4,583$3,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.27366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3761…203cbacked Yes20c3,870$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,080.261030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No80c3,470$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.8916440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes18c3,394$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,782.4791537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes20c3,125$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5007549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c3,018$2,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,247.151,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No51c2,305$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.1537649.5%186 W · 190 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes19c2,136$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.5213738.7%53 W · 84 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb93…e1d3backed No79c2,068$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.89966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes34c1,949$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.6972335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No24c1,531$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.958440.5%34 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Yes49c1,098$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.132853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+54.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No64c999.99$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.992770.4%19 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No68c721$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.392650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No45c701.42$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.787339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No55c682.07$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.294942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No78c635.8$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.910752.3%56 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No65c620.6$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.9360136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes32c589.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.193946.2%18 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+43.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.323743.2%16 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes18c501.47$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.474334.9%15 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes45c407.73$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6410539%41 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Yes50c401$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No24c400.87$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4439743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No80c400$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32043252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006267.7%42 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No38c391.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2212551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b26…9110backed Yes57c376.98$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked No78c369.05$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.978250%41 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked No3c350$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-52.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No67c310$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.668040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes17c300$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+84.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No77c286.55$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.7730856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No77c279.2$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.117058.8%100 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No28c270.25$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2744647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes18c255.56$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.562528%7 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes18c246.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4611035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes20c244.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.052661.5%16 W · 10 L+6.7wins+0.26per pick36cpaid+114.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Yes52c242$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.161586.7%13 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+61.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes70c234$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5224340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No63c232.17$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.35429.6%16 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Yes18c222.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.681915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Yes22c216.64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.982114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-54.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x080e…78a5backed No66c212.6$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.332711.1%3 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-62.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked Yes19c210.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.53922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Yes59c203$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9614238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes62c200.52$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5127236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes17c200$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1661797.8%14 W · 165 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes72c169.49$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5318736.4%68 W · 119 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked No38c169.48$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.862748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8973…f760backed Yes20c163.24$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.592528%7 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+73.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked No61c160$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.332040%8 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed No78c159.5$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked No17c141.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.071553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes69c132.55$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.412520%5 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No78c131$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6724252.5%127 W · 115 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d91…cdebbacked No19c130$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.52119%4 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes19c121$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.013923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Yes17c117.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.651741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes19c115.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.799739.2%38 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0811…1870backed Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.11742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e8…b560backed Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.11633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked Yes18c111$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.023461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes52c110.58$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.082445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No12c102.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.756845.6%31 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7412144.6%54 W · 67 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf887…db68backed Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes17c99.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.993925.6%10 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.67345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6d…935fbacked Yes20c80$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+107%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No50c76.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2723031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12dc…5437backed Yes20c75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes19c72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3214736.1%53 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7695…651ebacked Yes19c68.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+49.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes31c67.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3427450.7%139 W · 135 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No38c61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0516651.2%85 W · 81 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes18c60.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5614353.8%77 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No78c59.77$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.343974.4%29 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No78c59.26$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4415954.7%87 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0882…dceabacked Yes36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes60c54.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.753050%15 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1040…ac10backed Yes35c51.83$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.842055%11 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes59c49.06$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.366544.6%29 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No42c47.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.233050%15 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…fc7abacked Yes50c47.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.721540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2e5…c638backed Yes24c45.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.032343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Yes37c44.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.98742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked No60c42.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked No30c41.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.372437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No75c39.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7813567.4%91 W · 44 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2a0…7e90backed No74c38.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.451637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No45c37.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.891656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes58c37.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+47.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fea…f2c9backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.