Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8c0c8e6aa049fe59a8f2c31a811b95299ada4472006c0ad64f8208312948b94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 63c | 1,110$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.11 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 3c | 976.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 32c | 924.62$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.99 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 872.76$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.34 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 77c | 790.78$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.97 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 41c | 720.13$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.79 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 79c | 618.38$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.19 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…9144backed Yes | 2c | 539.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 19c | 518.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…07bcbacked No | 59c | 512.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.23 | 99 | 76.8%76 W · 23 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 5c | 479.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes | 35c | 478.93$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.11 | 231 | 29.4%68 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 61c | 445.05$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 34c | 410.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 41c | 367.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.72 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…005bbacked Yes | 5c | 365.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 167 | 9.6%16 W · 151 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 344.62$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.27 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 60c | 300.62$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.94 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 288$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 63c | 276.97$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c2…a675backed Yes | 44c | 260.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 58c | 255.89$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 254.36$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 7c | 228$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 35c | 207.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 63c | 203.04$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…a2bebacked Yes | 41c | 201.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 35c | 201.62$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 35c | 173.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 39c | 161.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 65c | 159.4$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 58c | 152.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…1c49backed Yes | 44c | 146.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 71c | 142.72$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 58c | 130.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 72c | 126.16$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 20c | 124.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 37c | 123.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…c9d2backed Yes | 36c | 115.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9668backed Yes | 44c | 114.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 46c | 109.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496d…a2f2backed Yes | 30c | 107.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 70c | 100.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff83…a97dbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 76c | 97.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…a971backed Yes | 31c | 96.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 93.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 41c | 83.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 30c | 81.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…75ddbacked Yes | 19c | 78.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 241 | 41.9%101 W · 140 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…9c59backed Yes | 41c | 78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e95ebacked Yes | 42c | 77.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 63c | 76.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e1…ac51backed Yes | 44c | 75.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…4534backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed No | 56c | 66.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 67c | 65.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x572b…83dbbacked Yes | 24c | 65.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…8ed6backed Yes | 42c | 64.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 47c | 63.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 384 | 54.9%211 W · 173 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 61c | 62.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 46c | 61.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 63c | 61.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 40c | 60.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…70a4backed Yes | 37c | 58.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc4…8369backed Yes | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 54c | 51.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 56c | 51.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…0629backed No | 64c | 50.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 37c | 50.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58a…2a4fbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…22a6backed Yes | 39c | 49.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 36c | 49.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebe…2c1dbacked Yes | 30c | 48.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…8223backed Yes | 42c | 47.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x267d…ed00backed Yes | 44c | 45.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 58c | 43.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 36c | 43.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…3cc3backed No | 59c | 39.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 80c | 39.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 60c | 38.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 63c | 36.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0c9cbacked Yes | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.