Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x932c724a6f37e36f5334d910073fe4f4fb5e78c309729ff7a63ffd0f405fcf7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 17c | 1,798$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.2 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 6c | 1,521$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.62 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,475$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.45 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,091$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.16 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 76c | 855.21$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.65 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 76c | 817.72$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.77 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 14c | 781.49$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x496d…a2f2backed Yes | 2c | 744.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f88…cdcbbacked Yes | 61c | 699.99$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.78 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd351…b2d9backed No | 77c | 639.73$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.79 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 3c | 593.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 9c | 560.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 11c | 527.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 5c | 510.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 76c | 484$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 77c | 454.65$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 424$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 53c | 416.38$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.71 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 12c | 414.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 375$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 12c | 333.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…575abacked Yes | 5c | 315.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 16c | 315.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d8…03eabacked Yes | 4c | 314.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 116 | 12.1%14 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 9c | 283.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 78c | 277.57$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 5c | 265.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…5f93backed Yes | 19c | 264.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 18c | 240.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 43c | 237.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 235.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…005bbacked Yes | 7c | 225.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 167 | 9.6%16 W · 151 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0948backed Yes | 27c | 225.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 9c | 225.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 10c | 215.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 16c | 214.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 22c | 199.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 6c | 197.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 79c | 189$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 11c | 187.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 79c | 181.92$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 10c | 176.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 67c | 163.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 72c | 161.58$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 80c | 161.19$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 67c | 156.27$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 66c | 151.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 8c | 148.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…e9bfbacked No | 78c | 145.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 55c | 140.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 34c | 138.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…a971backed Yes | 16c | 133.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfb…636dbacked Yes | 9c | 133.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 112 | 25%28 W · 84 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed No | 76c | 126.84$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 24c | 117.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 26c | 100.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6e40…2e56backed No | 62c | 97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 57c | 94.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 73c | 78.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 58c | 74.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec8…b2c9backed Yes | 27c | 69.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…09abbacked No | 70c | 68.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 161 | 61.5%99 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…40aebacked Yes | 19c | 67.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…ca22backed No | 68c | 65.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8810…0e4dbacked No | 78c | 64.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 73c | 60.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f4…6950backed Yes | 41c | 49.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…17c9backed Yes | 63c | 47.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…f600backed Yes | 33c | 44.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes | 59c | 29.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…266abacked Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadda…684cbacked No | 80c | 24.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 85 | 80%68 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a85…70f5backed No | 49c | 21.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 138 | 62.3%86 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 71c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 80c | 12.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.59 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.