TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Quebec City: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Yunchaokete Bu

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nicolai Budkov Kjaerof Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, Yunchaokete Bu
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,277
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,840

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,277 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer69c4,853$3,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.794,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yunchaokete Bu12c2,824$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.043,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer53c2,298$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.7211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yunchaokete Bu29c2,062$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.918,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer71c1,591$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.023,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2938…235fbacked Yunchaokete Bu56c1,314$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.993046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer38c1,048$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.4561152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaf4…d5c4backed Yunchaokete Bu62c967.74$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004042.5%17 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Yunchaokete Bu61c816.6$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008956.2%50 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Yunchaokete Bu63c795.32$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012467.7%84 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Yunchaokete Bu41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yunchaokete Bu27c642.36$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.482,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Yunchaokete Bu44c615.48$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.595,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yunchaokete Bu53c581.21$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.041,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer44c551.72$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30936946.9%173 W · 196 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer40c498.62$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.717,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Yunchaokete Bu69c362.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa34e…29f8backed Yunchaokete Bu28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004524.4%11 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-45%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Yunchaokete Bu29c321.19$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.121,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd21…cbdcbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer74c317.22$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.53966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1840…fbd1backed Yunchaokete Bu16c301.1$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.14520%9 W · 36 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Yunchaokete Bu52c279.91$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.711,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer37c263.55$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.041,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6e61…2f1bbacked Yunchaokete Bu41c251.95$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.329148.5%141 W · 150 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Yunchaokete Bu48c206.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10092355.8%515 W · 408 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Yunchaokete Bu26c200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5164837.5%243 W · 405 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.989,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Yunchaokete Bu41c180.49$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Yunchaokete Bu63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047058.5%275 W · 195 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked Yunchaokete Bu63c150.21$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6314757.8%85 W · 62 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Yunchaokete Bu33c139.47$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.31,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Yunchaokete Bu62c136.59$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8584968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed Yunchaokete Bu41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039451.8%204 W · 190 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed Yunchaokete Bu41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030755%169 W · 138 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Yunchaokete Bu41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Yunchaokete Bu47c118$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.221,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Yunchaokete Bu39c109.01$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4954141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer38c105.82$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1355347.6%263 W · 290 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer38c105.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.335,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x572b…83dbbacked Yunchaokete Bu27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271625%4 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yunchaokete Bu62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.671,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer37c99.21$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.556827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yunchaokete Bu34c95.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.856,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Yunchaokete Bu41c90.05$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.922,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yunchaokete Bu14c84.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4744729.3%131 W · 316 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2516…51edbacked Yunchaokete Bu60c81.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5415374.5%114 W · 39 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yunchaokete Bu63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.425152.6%132 W · 119 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ace…23d1backed Yunchaokete Bu29c75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.754136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Yunchaokete Bu41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3092554.8%507 W · 418 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Yunchaokete Bu41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3078857.1%450 W · 338 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Yunchaokete Bu41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3049056.9%279 W · 211 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer60c66.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4848152%250 W · 231 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer37c63.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.981,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer39c54.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4569545.8%318 W · 377 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer72c48.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.44,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ea5…6c53backed Yunchaokete Bu59c46.66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5321848.2%105 W · 113 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2471…4523backed Yunchaokete Bu28c46.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1313527.4%37 W · 98 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeedc…d4c0backed Yunchaokete Bu61c45.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.614870.3%104 W · 44 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer39c42.81$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1169047%324 W · 366 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer38c42.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1621536.7%79 W · 136 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b2…9980backed Yunchaokete Bu62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.822143.9%97 W · 124 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Yunchaokete Bu63c39.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9134864.1%223 W · 125 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x027e…472ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer39c38.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer71c34.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0670254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer39c33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.135160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer39c32.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.013,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yunchaokete Bu59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.796844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Yunchaokete Bu57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.172147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer42c26.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5927749.1%136 W · 141 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Yunchaokete Bu62c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8837058.4%216 W · 154 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf236…2e36backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer48c23.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.999037.8%34 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer59c21.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.624,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Yunchaokete Bu61c19.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.120857.2%119 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8784…9b1abacked Yunchaokete Bu54c19.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.636931.9%22 W · 47 L-10.2wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-37%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.