Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01c5013479aa3085b81e174d69e2cbf39ebc2902e8188b1adb5ceeaf25d51be2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Yes | 52c | 185,829$97,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,469.97 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 49c | 49,680$24,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,211.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 40c | 33,180$13,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,305.96 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 49c | 24,188$11,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,248.16 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 47c | 22,680$10,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,659.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed No | 49c | 14,099$6,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,871.39 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 49c | 10,090$4,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970.68 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked No | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.97 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 9,440$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480.08 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Yes | 46c | 8,261$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,460.87 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 11c | 8,214$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.11 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 48c | 7,204$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422.14 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…1e0cbacked No | 48c | 6,792$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +150%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 47c | 5,676$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.68 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 46c | 4,814$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.39 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 48c | 2,602$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.31 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 47c | 2,007$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.22 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 47c | 1,997$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.46 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 48c | 1,568$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.64 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 47c | 1,491$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.64 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed No | 48c | 1,384$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.48 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 49c | 1,327$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.23 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 51c | 1,286$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.77 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 1,162$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.31 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 1,162$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.31 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 1,162$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.31 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 46c | 930.21$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.62 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 51c | 828.51$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.54 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 48c | 817$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.5 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 53c | 748.11$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 47c | 653.79$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.28 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 616.65$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.76 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…107bbacked No | 47c | 550$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 496.42$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.28 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 47c | 434.39$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.16 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 52c | 375$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 47c | 344$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.12 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Yes | 38c | 311.7$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…2c20backed Yes | 54c | 279.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 47c | 253.03$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 49c | 243.14$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 43c | 237.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.8 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…5d16backed No | 21c | 219.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 47c | 209.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 47c | 207.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 47c | 202.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…084dbacked Yes | 50c | 199.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 51c | 194.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 47c | 192$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Yes | 49c | 188$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 51c | 184$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes | 50c | 181.48$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 48c | 175$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 48c | 156$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 70c | 155.83$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 151.85$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 66c | 148.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Yes | 76c | 144.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 47c | 127.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 122$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 47c | 121.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 38c | 113.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 51c | 108$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 47c | 106.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 48c | 101.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 53c | 99.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3de…b025backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 55c | 94.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 62c | 91.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 30c | 86.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked No | 47c | 71.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?No won
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.