Mls · resolved market
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59825e55dd8f5f6117a5bab71bcb9b2b046f4e6c91576e180ca85e7c62dff1eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 29c | 4,000$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.99 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 3,582$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.05 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Yes | 29c | 3,273$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 9c | 2,500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.48 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 28c | 2,260$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.91 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 71c | 1,882$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.81 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 71c | 1,072$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.42 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 71c | 942$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.18 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 30c | 874.48$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.16 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 71c | 418.78$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 3c | 399.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 30c | 375.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.27 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…4a7dbacked No | 72c | 351.42$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 301.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 10c | 296.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 72c | 227.38$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 28c | 211.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 71c | 199$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 71c | 195.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 28c | 181$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…e74cbacked No | 72c | 174.28$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 6c | 173.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 28c | 153.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 152.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 71c | 139.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 27c | 138$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 22c | 131.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Yes | 25c | 130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…4d66backed Yes | 16c | 122$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 18c | 115$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 71c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 18c | 104.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 71c | 100.46$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…97f8backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 71c | 95.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 30c | 87.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 74c | 74.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 71c | 74.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 30c | 66.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Yes | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 70c | 56.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 75c | 54.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 26c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 71c | 50.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 32c | 47.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 71c | 47.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed No | 75c | 45.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 68c | 43.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 77c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Yes | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdd…4648backed No | 72c | 40.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed No | 71c | 40.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 39.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 73c | 35.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 31c | 32.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea20…af4cbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 71c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed No | 71c | 14.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked No | 74c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.