UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe438a1312bb22a5bcba859132807d490acad7439d5eb4377a768929a808c7c94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stephanie Lucianoof Stephanie Luciano, Marina Spasic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $531,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $531,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Stephanie Luciano | 76c | 214,000$162,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,359.99 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Marina Spasic | 24c | 95,721$23,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,004.27 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Marina Spasic | 24c | 72,684$17,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,410.99 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Marina Spasic | 24c | 65,085$15,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,502.07 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Stephanie Luciano | 77c | 55,000$42,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Stephanie Luciano | 76c | 39,802$30,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,552.37 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610c…d29bbacked Marina Spasic | 0c | 33,820$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Marina Spasic | 23c | 27,549$6,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,436.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b9…79a2backed Marina Spasic | 24c | 22,232$5,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,335.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Marina Spasic | 24c | 19,586$4,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,634.04 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Stephanie Luciano | 77c | 16,370$12,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,814.48 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Marina Spasic | 23c | 15,180$3,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.8 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…1bedbacked Marina Spasic | 24c | 14,807$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,553.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed Marina Spasic | 22c | 13,200$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Marina Spasic | 24c | 12,685$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.8 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Stephanie Luciano | 75c | 12,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Stephanie Luciano | 77c | 9,673$7,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.83 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…442bbacked Marina Spasic | 23c | 8,263$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.69 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Stephanie Luciano | 77c | 8,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Marina Spasic | 27c | 7,110$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.85 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…3c4cbacked Marina Spasic | 23c | 6,816$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Marina Spasic | 25c | 6,700$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Marina Spasic | 22c | 6,600$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Stephanie Luciano | 75c | 6,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Stephanie Luciano | 75c | 5,359$4,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.57 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Stephanie Luciano | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Stephanie Luciano | 77c | 4,806$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.45 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Marina Spasic | 23c | 4,793$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Marina Spasic | 24c | 4,112$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.04 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Stephanie Luciano | 72c | 4,000$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.04 | 157 | 36.9%58 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Stephanie Luciano | 76c | 3,636$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.52 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Stephanie Luciano | 76c | 3,500$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.92 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Stephanie Luciano | 71c | 3,375$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.44 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a452backed Marina Spasic | 24c | 3,095$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Marina Spasic | 25c | 2,837$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.43 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…a1b2backed Marina Spasic | 24c | 2,625$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Stephanie Luciano | 75c | 2,610$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.66 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Stephanie Luciano | 71c | 2,547$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.32 | 203 | 48.3%98 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Marina Spasic | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.95 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Marina Spasic | 24c | 1,995$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…8abebacked Stephanie Luciano | 76c | 1,951$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.14 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Marina Spasic | 25c | 1,935$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.74 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed Marina Spasic | 24c | 1,877$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.72 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Marina Spasic | 34c | 1,741$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Marina Spasic | 26c | 1,546$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…99e1backed Marina Spasic | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +11.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Marina Spasic | 24c | 1,430$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.29 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…9671backed Stephanie Luciano | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Stephanie Luciano | 76c | 1,133$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.57 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Marina Spasic | 25c | 1,012$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Marina Spasic | 23c | 957$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Stephanie Luciano | 72c | 900$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Stephanie Luciano | 68c | 899.98$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Marina Spasic | 25c | 792.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Marina Spasic | 24c | 737$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Marina Spasic | 25c | 734.09$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Stephanie Luciano | 73c | 699.1$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.96 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Marina Spasic | 24c | 666.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Marina Spasic | 25c | 640$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Marina Spasic | 31c | 636.27$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.89 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Marina Spasic | 16c | 598.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Marina Spasic | 33c | 581.61$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.93 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Stephanie Luciano | 77c | 578.06$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.95 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Marina Spasic | 25c | 560$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marina Spasic | 23c | 559.26$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.63 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Marina Spasic | 24c | 537.07$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.67 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Stephanie Luciano | 75c | 533$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.25 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b97…0f17backed Marina Spasic | 25c | 532$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Marina Spasic | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Marina Spasic | 27c | 487.03$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Marina Spasic | 32c | 409.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Marina Spasic | 24c | 402$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Marina Spasic | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Marina Spasic | 24c | 399$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Marina Spasic | 24c | 397$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Stephanie Luciano | 77c | 364$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…1c22backed Marina Spasic | 31c | 346.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Marina Spasic | 32c | 333$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Stephanie Luciano | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Stephanie Luciano | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Stephanie Luciano | 76c | 328$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…d123backed Marina Spasic | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Stephanie Luciano | 75c | 274.79$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Stephanie Luciano | 74c | 271$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Stephanie Luciano | 77c | 264$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Marina Spasic | 21c | 253.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Marina Spasic | 24c | 242.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Stephanie Luciano | 76c | 230.26$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…86fdbacked Marina Spasic | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…77f5backed Stephanie Luciano | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…693cbacked Stephanie Luciano | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Marina Spasic | 24c | 189.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…b9bebacked Stephanie Luciano | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Stephanie Luciano | 74c | 157.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…18f2backed Stephanie Luciano | 76c | 157.27$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Stephanie Luciano | 76c | 156.58$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Stephanie Luciano | 73c | 156.29$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…ea06backed Marina Spasic | 24c | 148.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Marina Spasic | 23c | 144.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Marina Spasic | 22c | 138$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Stephanie Luciano win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.