Tennis · resolved market
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Samira De Stefano vs Antonia Vergara Rivera
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x760cf148f6941f9266cd7b1f185226998d457a833764d71aca72ee6dd330a019
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samira De Stefanoof Samira De Stefano, Antonia Vergara Rivera
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Antonia Vergara Rivera | 16c | 8,068$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Antonia Vergara Rivera | 55c | 7,536$4,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,162.61 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samira De Stefano | 59c | 4,638$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.2 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…a1b2backed Samira De Stefano | 60c | 2,988$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Antonia Vergara Rivera | 24c | 2,213$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.72 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Antonia Vergara Rivera | 38c | 2,155$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.95 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Antonia Vergara Rivera | 11c | 1,431$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.37 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Samira De Stefano | 78c | 1,400$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.65 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Samira De Stefano | 76c | 779.43$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.85 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Antonia Vergara Rivera | 52c | 637.32$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.64 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Samira De Stefano | 64c | 400$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Antonia Vergara Rivera | 48c | 380.96$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Samira De Stefano | 63c | 306.38$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.09 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Antonia Vergara Rivera | 42c | 256.28$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Antonia Vergara Rivera | 22c | 223.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Samira De Stefano | 51c | 159.22$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Antonia Vergara Rivera | 56c | 157.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Samira De Stefano | 79c | 157.05$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Antonia Vergara Rivera | 22c | 134.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Samira De Stefano | 79c | 115.95$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Samira De Stefano | 77c | 114$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Samira De Stefano | 78c | 113.41$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Antonia Vergara Rivera | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Samira De Stefano | 61c | 73.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Antonia Vergara Rivera | 22c | 45.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed Samira De Stefano | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Antonia Vergara Rivera | 39c | 38.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Samira De Stefano | 62c | 28.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Samira De Stefano | 78c | 27.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Samira De Stefano | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Samira De Stefano | 78c | 23.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Samira De Stefano | 57c | 21.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked Samira De Stefano | 77c | 19.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.