Europa Conference League · resolved market
KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb87634759241f3d25f6afff81c5b96dab919a2a83a0b82ed958b34db466e4d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 8c | 2,186$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.86 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 76c | 2,073$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.44 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…5449backed Over | 9c | 1,318$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,175$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.38 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 29c | 913.88$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.37 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 61c | 553.52$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.62 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…2501backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 69c | 142$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…00fcbacked Over | 10c | 139.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 30c | 93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 26c | 89.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…6f2abacked Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 73c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 73c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 71c | 14.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 1.5this page
- KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: KAA Gent (-1.5)Hibernian FC won
- Spread: KAA Gent (-2.5)Hibernian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.