Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: KAA Gent (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff915f8af1ee8b91b86c79872df8f94a2a2cf0f08d23622649c7130cb3af3410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hibernian FCof KAA Gent, Hibernian FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Hibernian FC | 67c | 2,848$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.8 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Hibernian FC | 71c | 2,176$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.96 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed KAA Gent | 25c | 1,931$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.51 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KAA Gent | 33c | 1,657$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.23 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hibernian FC | 72c | 1,001$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.28 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KAA Gent | 34c | 977.79$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.99 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked KAA Gent | 33c | 929.37$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.46 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed KAA Gent | 33c | 606$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed KAA Gent | 33c | 606$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed KAA Gent | 31c | 103.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed KAA Gent | 33c | 100.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Hibernian FC | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Hibernian FC | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked KAA Gent | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked KAA Gent | 33c | 52.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed KAA Gent | 28c | 50.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked KAA Gent | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KAA Gent | 33c | 45.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed KAA Gent | 33c | 42.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Hibernian FC | 67c | 35.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed KAA Gent | 35c | 31.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked KAA Gent | 33c | 30.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Hibernian FC | 67c | 24.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Hibernian FC | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Hibernian FC | 69c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Hibernian FC | 74c | 20.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Hibernian FC | 74c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Hibernian FC | 66c | 18.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: KAA Gent (-1.5)this page
- KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: KAA Gent (-2.5)Hibernian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.