Premier League · resolved market
Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d0ed585e76369473320b64449d8679e005238c8e01e255f310b4f3befbc5275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed Under | 52c | 9,840$5,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,116.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 6,422$3,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.02 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 55c | 5,765$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.59 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 48c | 4,924$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.45 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 39c | 3,367$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.35 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ca…ac4cbacked Under | 36c | 2,210$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 1,946$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.59 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 1,900$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 1,672$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +183%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…5449backed Under | 1c | 1,670$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 45c | 1,245$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.1 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Under | 25c | 1,187$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 45c | 1,108$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.56 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 47c | 865.05$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.48 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Under | 68c | 837.81$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.69 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 47c | 810.29$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.39 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 58c | 713.91$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.07 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 74c | 566.15$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.63 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 564.53$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.29 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 46c | 542$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.8 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 74c | 540.41$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.51 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 48c | 502.2$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.97 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 496.84$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…97f8backed Over | 49c | 448.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +154.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 15c | 426.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 406.79$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.31 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 46c | 395.4$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.52 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 65c | 333.12$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 45c | 307.28$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 51c | 302.61$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 72c | 269.7$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 249$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 60c | 218.88$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 200.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Over | 37c | 193.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.81 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 47c | 178.43$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 60c | 163.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 79c | 143.04$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 47c | 132$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Over | 63c | 119.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 40c | 100.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 50c | 79.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 55c | 74.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 48c | 65.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -7.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 52c | 61.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 46c | 55.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Over | 47c | 53.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Under | 60c | 50.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 47c | 48.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 54c | 47.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c6…1c5bbacked Over | 46c | 43.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 43c | 37.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 29.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 47c | 28.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under | 70c | 28.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 44c | 28.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 61c | 28.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…4a14backed Over | 56c | 26.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 52c | 25.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 57c | 25.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 273 | 56.4%154 W · 119 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Under | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 59c | 20.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 407 | 21.9%89 W · 318 L | -53.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 79c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bolton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Preston North End FC won
- Spread: Bolton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Preston North End FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.