Premier League · resolved market
Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48cfbc7dd88c3cd9c0a4395ab323cc8f145584a1bf81f2e9bd83c590c9d51526
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 3,331$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.4 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Under | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 14c | 1,681$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.05 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 1,631$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.69 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Under | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Over | 15c | 227.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 39c | 212.84$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 27c | 137.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 61c | 115.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 38c | 111.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…2b2fbacked Under | 74c | 67.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Over | 24c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 76c | 54.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 24c | 47.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Over | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 78c | 43.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…0924backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 33c | 33.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 65c | 31.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 73c | 30.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 39c | 26.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 60c | 17.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 67c | 15.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 76c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bolton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Preston North End FC won
- Spread: Bolton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Preston North End FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.