Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48a7f662782968dc1515aa114cc3a2aadd4dfa330893109cec1785d329fc337a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 62c | 5,617$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.55 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 42c | 3,527$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.03 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 3,258$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.07 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 93 | 20.4%19 W · 74 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 2,839$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.28 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 73c | 999.98$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 51c | 656$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.56 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 51c | 656$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.56 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 51c | 656$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.56 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked No | 51c | 385.69$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 62c | 306.79$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 28c | 268.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 49c | 264.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.93 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 50c | 217.92$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…468dbacked No | 51c | 216.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…e4e7backed No | 51c | 210.78$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No | 52c | 193$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 171$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 170.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 6c | 168.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 49c | 143.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 27c | 140$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 9c | 138.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 27c | 123$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 122.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 72c | 109.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 99.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed No | 51c | 98.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 73c | 93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eac…35afbacked No | 74c | 82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 69c | 75.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 69c | 72.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb284…b1fbbacked No | 51c | 71.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…5449backed No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 70c | 64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc401…ce26backed No | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Yes | 32c | 50.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 32c | 46.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 71c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 52c | 39.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed No | 51c | 38.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 69c | 31.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked No | 52c | 31.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…aa5dbacked No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 73c | 27.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 74c | 27.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 53c | 20.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 74c | 14.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?this page
- Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-08-20?No won
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.