TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3ed…9f79backed No57c8,855$5,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,788.863339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No50c7,840$3,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,948.5597346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No59c3,958$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.992,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No48c3,756$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.327936.7%29 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes51c2,999$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.6919250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No75c2,825$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.192,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes30c2,190$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.491,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002650%13 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Yes36c1,800$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6404459.1%26 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes51c1,615$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.6578344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes43c1,568$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.1843344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes39c1,407$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.482,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes45c1,356$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1b9…c40bbacked Yes36c1,071$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.421338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403669.4%25 W · 11 L+8.4wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+62.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes42c892$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.6488048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes43c885.21$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.21,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005066%33 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes44c795.45$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes41c771.27$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.4338952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes53c754.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes43c699.36$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.7396947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes43c618.47$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.7491950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c609.84$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.543,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No55c541.43$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.646456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7129654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Yes29c532$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.725839.7%23 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes43c512$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.1627545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes52c499.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26013666.2%90 W · 46 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes42c446$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.3238144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b03…b127backed Yes23c425.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9df…210ebacked No56c415.23$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.74100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes44c406.23$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8627644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1644755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes34c366.83$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.176941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked No51c346.82$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.492528%7 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes43c306.77$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9169448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes47c300.64$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.311839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes51c285$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.357859%46 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked No71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.691758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes48c254.85$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.353050%15 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xece6…b10cbacked Yes40c253.2$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.281250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes43c249.93$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4766150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed Yes46c247.97$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes47c213.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No34c212.68$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.646547.7%31 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+35.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes33c205.69$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9615562.6%97 W · 58 L+22.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes25c200.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8217941.9%75 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029257.6%53 W · 39 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3814630.1%44 W · 102 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6efa…468dbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes49c184.9$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4511260.7%68 W · 44 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Yes44c181.92$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0410157.4%58 W · 43 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50458.9%4 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes50c166.25$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4316446.3%76 W · 88 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Yes42c135$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.72536%9 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Yes45c134.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.747146.5%33 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No55c134.12$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3514637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes27c129.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2733522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes52c129.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9232436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc81…e072backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No63c120.63$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.635959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed No54c119$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7431842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No55c110.64$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5077855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes45c106$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.727039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes35c100.6$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0417855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb3f…ca5abacked Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0315828.5%45 W · 113 L-18.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes44c96.02$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2444156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes34c91.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2117958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes32c88.01$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9120244.6%90 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeca…a1b7backed No57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.723050%15 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked No50c82.23$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.275056%28 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.427846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Yes24c62.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.922634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-45.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510148.5%49 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Yes25c59.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.763961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.823348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6288…fd46backed Yes24c56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.44520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-61.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed No55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+47%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.514233.1%47 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked No68c46.17$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.87356.2%41 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Yes27c42.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.582744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Yes45c42.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed No56c42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.481145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed No56c42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.481450%7 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Yes55c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.716552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes57c34.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.032766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes45c26.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123562.9%22 W · 13 L+5.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Yes44c25.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0125440.6%103 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Yes44c23.09$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.163754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No71c21.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1785260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes62c21.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0412355.3%68 W · 55 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9923950.2%120 W · 119 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3119848%95 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1133446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6413467.9%91 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes55c19.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.77857.7%45 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No76c15.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7129470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.