Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fb372a061a915eb83d725fb41fa7d5aa357b5ea9cebf1db71686bc918e811cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 26c | 3,160$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.16 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 71c | 1,684$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.41 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 1,050$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.77 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 74c | 1,013$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.06 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe053…fd08backed No | 73c | 907.86$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 30c | 634.9$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 534.05$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.55 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…3811backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 28c | 298.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 29c | 235.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Yes | 26c | 223.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 30c | 222.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…31fbbacked No | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 29c | 200.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…4f5abacked Yes | 28c | 196.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 72c | 190$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 73c | 175.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 71c | 167.16$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 160.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 21c | 154.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked No | 73c | 143.82$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed No | 74c | 115.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 105.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 88.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 30c | 86.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 76.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 19c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 72c | 69.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 26c | 67.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 78c | 64.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 70c | 59.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed No | 74c | 56.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb284…b1fbbacked No | 74c | 54.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 71c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…e072backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8a…f7abbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed No | 74c | 33.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 32.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed No | 71c | 28.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 71c | 28.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked No | 74c | 24.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 73c | 23.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 74c | 22.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8b…2c89backed No | 74c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 74c | 21.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed No | 75c | 21.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc98…a143backed No | 74c | 19.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed No | 77c | 18.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…5709backed No | 74c | 17.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 74c | 16.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 79c | 14.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.